FNUS75 KGJT 111844
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR MESA VERDE ADMIN PILES...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1144 AM MST MON FEB 11 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 MST ON FEBRUARY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...UNSETTLED CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA
THROUGH TODAY AS A PROLONGED WINTER STORM GRADUALLY EXITS THE
REGION. LIGHT TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE THE LIMITING FACTOR
WHEN THEY COMBINE WITH OCCASIONAL SNOW SHOWERS AND CONTINUED
INSTABILITY FOR ONLY FAIR SMOKE DISPERSAL THIS AFTERNOON. A
DRIER AND MORE STABLE AIR MASS MOVES OVER THE REGION TONIGHT AND
ON TUESDAY. HOWEVER TRANSPORT WINDS WILL INCREASE ENOUGH FOR FAIR
SMOKE DISPERSAL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100%). OCCASIONAL SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....32-35 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT SOUTHEAST (0-4 MPH) UNTIL NOON...THEN
                    SOUTHWEST WINDS 3-5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL AROUND 1400...THEN FAIR. BETTER
                    SMOKE DISPERSAL IN SHOWERS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 6400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AT 5 UNTIL 1400...THEN NORTHWEST 8 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (40-50%). DECREASING SNOW. SCATTERED
                    SNOW SHOWERS BECOMING ISOLATED BY
                    MIDNIGHT...THEN ENDING LATE TONIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....2-7 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 0-4 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (LESS THAN 4300 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....32-37 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-32%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 0-5 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    BECOMING NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR...BECOMING FAIR IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 MPH UNTIL NOON...THEN NORTH
                    11 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...KEITH KRAUSE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130211.MESAV.01/GJT