FNUS72 KJAX 111842
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR RACCOON KEY RX...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE CUMBERLAND ISLAND NATIONAL S
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
142 PM EST MON FEB 11 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1900 EST ON FEBRUARY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH REGARDS TO THE TIMING AND
PROGRESSION OF A WEAK COLD FRONT TONIGHT. LATEST INDICATIONS SUGGEST
A SLOWER MOVING FRONT THAN PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED. WINDS WILL GENERALLY
REMAIN SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH THIS EVENING. THE FRONT SHOULD REACH
THE BURN SITE AFTER MIDNIGHT...AND WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WITH SOME NORTHERLY COMPONENT EXPECTED BY SUNRISE. A FEW
LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT THROUGH THE AREA DURING
THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. LOW STRATUS CLOUDS/PATCHY FOG AND POSSIBLY
SOME DRIZZLE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. DENSE FOG
IS EXPECTED TO ADVECT NORTHEAST FROM THE GULF ACROSS PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST FLORIDA TONIGHT...BUT IF THE FRONT REMAINS ON
SCHEDULE...THE DENSE FOG BANK IS NOT EXPECTED TO MAKE IT TO THE
BURN SITE.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 6 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....22 DECREASING TO 5.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EST)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........74     73     80     87     93     95
WEATHER COV.....                     S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............71     69     68     66     64     63
RH..............71     76     78     81     85     85
20 FT WIND......S 8    SW 9   W 9    W 7    NW 5   N 3
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     10            5
MIX HGT (FT)....1300   1000   700    400    600    800
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 12  SW 14  W 13   W 7    NW 6   N 7
LVORI...........3      3      4      5      5      5

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    THROUGH THE DAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 8 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 22 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........96     96     95     93     95     95
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............62     61     62     64     65     65
RH..............83     86     85     79     75     75
20 FT WIND......N 5    N 5    N 6    NE 8   NE 9   NE 10
20 FT WIND GUST.              10     10     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....900    1100   1200   1400   1500   1600
TRANSPORT WIND..N 8    NE 10  NE 12  NE 14  NE 15  NE 14
LVORI...........5      5      4      3      3      3
DISPERSION INDX.6      8      17     22     25     25

$$
FORECASTER...SHULER
REQUESTED BY...ODY ANDERSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130211.RACCO.02/JAX