FNUS72 KTAE 111352 FWSTAE SPOT FORECAST FOR 807C...EGLIN AFB NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 852 AM EST MON FEB 11 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CST ON FEBRUARY 11. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT (850)942-8835. .DISCUSSION...A SLOW-MOVING COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO TRIGGER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS VERY NEAR THE BURN LOCATION EARLY THIS MORNING. THE FRONT WILL BE PUSHING SOUTH THROUGH THE DAY...SO THE WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT SHOULD BEGIN IMPACTING AREAS NEAR THE BAY AND BURN LOCATION BY LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL. ANY STORM COULD PRODUCE LIGHTNING. THE RAIN COULD LINGER INTO THE EVENING...WITH ADDITIONAL RAIN CHANCES LASTING THROUGH MID WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 9 AM TO NOON. THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SOME STORMS MAY PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MIN HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. CWR.................90 PERCENT. LAL.................2 THIS MORNING...INCREASING TO 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1700-2000 FT AGL BY LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 22 MPH. TIME (CST) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM SKY (%).........75 80 85 85 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TEMP............70 72 73 71 RH..............90 81 83 85 20 FT WIND......S 10 S 11 S 12 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 TRANS WIND......S 15 S 17 S 18 S 17 LIGHTNING ACTIV.1 2 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55. MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. CWR.................90 PERCENT. LAL.................4 UNTIL 1900...THEN 2. MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 1500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 12 MPH. TIME (CST) 5 PM 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM SKY (%).........78 85 92 92 98 91 WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....TSTMS TSTMS RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............68 66 64 63 60 58 RH..............71 73 74 74 81 83 20 FT WIND......SE 5 SE 4 E 3 NE 3 NE 5 NE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 8 6 6 10 10 TRANS WIND......S 10 SE 7 SE 6 E 8 E 8 E 9 LIGHTNING ACTIV.4 4 2 2 2 2 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64. MIN HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH. CWR.................70 PERCENT. LAL.................2 UNTIL 0700...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 13 MPH. TIME (CST) 5 AM 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM SKY (%).........91 79 83 83 88 88 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............56 57 59 61 62 64 RH..............85 85 84 84 87 92 20 FT WIND......NE 6 NE 7 E 8 E 8 SE 7 SE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 12 13 13 12 11 TRANS WIND......NE 10 NE 12 NE 13 E 13 E 12 E 12 LIGHTNING ACTIV.2 2 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...ALEX LAMERS REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130211.807C_.01/TAE