FNUS71 KAKQ 121329 FWSAKQ SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACKWATER MARSH...US FISH AND WILDLIFE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 829 AM EST TUE FEB 12 2013 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE AREA TODAY. LOW PRESSURE THEN TRACKS NORTHEAST ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC REGION WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BRINGING WIDESPREAD RAIN OVER THE BURN SITE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL DEEPEN OFF THE DELMARVA COAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND A BRIEF PERIOD OF INTENSE PRECIPITATION IS ANTICIPATED. SHOWERS LINGER NEAR THE COAST THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE CONDITIONS DRY OUT FOR THE DAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....50 TO 53. MIN HUMIDITY........36 TO 41 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)....WEST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3000-3900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1300 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 12 MPH...INCREASING TO 15 TO 23 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL. TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............26 23 23 23 20 20 20 34 34 34 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................44 45 46 47 48 49 50 50 50 46 RH..................57 53 51 47 46 44 42 42 40 47 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.6 0.9 1.5 2.1 2.9 3.3 3.9 3.4 2.6 1.3 20 FT WIND DIR......W W W W W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD......10 10 13 12 12 10 10 9 8 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 20 25 20 20 20 20 15 15 10 TRANSP WIND DIR.....W W W W W W W W W SW TRANSP WIND SPD.....12 17 22 23 22 18 15 10 7 5 VRATE KT-FT/1000....7 15 33 48 64 59 59 34 18 7 LVORI...............3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 ADI.................8 23 55 57 55 48 36 30 16 8 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....32 TO 34. MAX HUMIDITY........85 TO 90 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 2 TO 3 MPH...BECOMING EAST 2 TO 5 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............50 50 50 68 68 68 87 87 87 89 89 89 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................43 40 39 38 37 36 36 36 35 35 35 35 RH..................55 64 67 70 70 75 79 82 82 82 82 85 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.8 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 20 FT WIND DIR......W NW NW NW NW NW N N NE NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD......3 3 3 3 3 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 TRANSP WIND DIR.....S SE SE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.....3 2 2 2 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 VRATE KT-FT/1000....2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 LVORI...............3 3 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 ADI.................2 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....44 TO 47. MIN HUMIDITY........58 TO 63 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO 70 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 17 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............92 92 92 96 96 96 100 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE........RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN TSTM COV............ TEMP................35 35 37 41 44 45 45 46 46 45 45 44 RH..................85 85 82 73 68 65 65 63 65 70 70 76 CHC OF PCPN (%).....20 20 20 20 20 20 70 70 70 70 70 70 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.9 20 FT WIND DIR......E E E E E E E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD......2 2 3 3 3 5 5 6 6 6 6 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 TRANSP WIND DIR.....E E E E E SE SE S SE E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.....6 6 7 8 9 9 10 12 13 14 15 17 VRATE KT-FT/1000....1 1 3 5 7 8 10 14 16 15 15 15 LVORI...............5 5 5 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 ADI.................2 3 3 3 11 13 16 19 22 25 29 32 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 FORECASTER...DEROSA REQUESTED BY...ART CANTERBURY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130212.BLACK.01/AKQ