FNUS73 KAPX 121242
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR KNUTH OPENING...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
742 AM EST TUE FEB 12 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EST ON FEBRUARY 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SEASONABLY COOL CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS THE BURN
SITE...WITH GENERALLY MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS PREVAILING. RH
VALUES WILL REMAIN ELEVATED BOTH TODAY AND TONIGHT. OTHER THAN
A FEW FLURRIES PERHAPS EARLY THIS MORNING...PRECIP-FREE WEATHER
IS EXPECTED. MORNING WEST WINDS WILL SLOWLY VEER TO SOUTHWEST THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. WINDS WILL BE OCCASIONALLY GUSTY TODAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........28 AT IGNITION...MAX 32.
RH..................68 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 11 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 11 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 21 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3200-3900
                    FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (700) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT
                    (700).

TIME (EST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........100 100 98  93  90  87  82  79  78
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............28  28  29  29  30  30  30  30  29
RH..............68  68  66  66  63  63  63  63  66
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..10  10  9   9   9   9   9   8   7
20 FT WIND GUST.20  20  20  20  20  20  20  15  15
HAINES INDEX....2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3
SMOKE DISP......700 700 700 600 500 500 600 600 600

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND
                    5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(100).

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........77  76  74  71  70  69  68  67  65  60  58  58
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6   5   5   5   6   5   4   4   4   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  5   5       10  10
SMOKE DISP......600 500 500 500 500 400 300 200 200 100 100 100

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE BOGUTH
REQUESTED BY...GREG BERNER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130212.KNUTH.01/APX