FNUS73 KPAH 121434 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR KDFWR COLLINS...KY DEPT FISH AND WILDLIFE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 834 AM CST TUE FEB 12 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON FEBRUARY 12. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGHER LEVEL...CIRRUS CLOUDS...WILL MOVE OVER THE PRESCRIBED BURN AREA BETWEEN 11 AM AND NOON. THIS MAY SLIGHTLY SLOW THE RISE IN TEMPERATURES AND THE INCREASING DEPTH IN MIXING HEIGHTS BY MID-AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL FALL BELOW THE 1700 FOOT AGL LEVEL AFTER 6 PM CST. LIGHT EASTERLY TRANSPORT WINDS WILL DRIFT ANY SMOKE WEST TOWARD THE OHIO RIVER. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT FROM THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST WITH THE BEST CHANCES FOR RAIN...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SNOW BETWEEN 3 AM AND 8 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING. RAIN CHANCES QUICKLY EXIT THE REGION DURING THE LATE MORNING ON WEDNESDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........39 AT IGNITION...MAX 51. RH..................70 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 40 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 1900-2700 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 10 MPH. TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........CLR MCR MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............39 42 46 48 49 50 49 48 RH..............70 62 53 49 48 46 48 51 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E NE NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 2.2 2.6 2.7 2.6 2.4 2.2 1.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.9 7 3 3 3 3 5 6 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 4 4 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 34. RH..................MAX 98 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 55 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 21 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....NONE RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP............46 42 40 39 37 35 RH..............58 70 76 82 89 96 20 FT WIND......NE 2 NE 2 NE 3 NE 4 N 5 N 5 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....1500 600 200 300 600 1300 TRANSPORT WIND..E 6 NE 7 NE 6 NE 6 N 12 N 17 CWR.............0 0 0 60 60 60 HAINES INDEX....5 4 4 3 3 2 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN LATE IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 46. RH..................MIN 62 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. CWR.................52 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-3800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-4000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1400 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN NONE NONE TEMP............35 38 43 45 RH..............96 85 70 65 20 FT WIND......N 5 N 5 NW 5 W 7G15 MIX HGT (FT)....2100 1900 3300 3800 TRANSPORT WIND..N 22 N 17 NW 15 W 14 CWR.............50 50 0 0 HAINES INDEX....2 3 3 4 $$ FORECASTER...SMITH REQUESTED BY...BURN BOSS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130212.KDFWR.01/PAH