FNUS73 KLSX 131350
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROADSIDE GLADE...MODNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
750 AM CST WED FEB 13 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 CST ON FEBRUARY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOTS OF SUNSHINE IS EXPECTED OVER NORTHEAST MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL
ILLINOIS TODAY...WHILE THE CLOUDS OVER SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS EARLY TODAY WILL BE GIVING WAY TO SUNSHINE LATER
THIS MORNING. WEST WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH WILL BE COMMON LATER THIS
MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON. ON THURSDAY THERE WILL BE AN ELEVATED
FIRE DANGER ACROSS THE AREA...THANKS TO AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
IN THE 25-30 PERCENT RANGE...STRONG AND GUSTY WEST WINDS...AND DRY
FUELS. COLDER TEMPERATURES...AND HIGHER HUMIDITY LEVELS...ARE EXPECTED
ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........49 AT IGNITION...MAX 51.
RH..................46 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....WINDS WEST AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WIND EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING WEST 2
                    TO 4 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 10 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
                    USING 0.3 ADJUSTMENT FACTOR.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS WEST AT 11 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WIND EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING WEST 7
                    TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...3600 FT AGL AT
                    MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (9646 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 33.
RH..................MAX 80 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....WEST WIND AROUND 2 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 2 TO 3 MPH FROM MID
                    EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT.
WIND...20 FT........WEST WIND AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH FROM MID
                    EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WIND......N/A.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 52.
RH..................MIN 30 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....BREEZY. WEST WIND 3 TO 4 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 15 MPH UNTIL LATE MORNING INCREASING TO
                    4 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
WIND...20 FT........BREEZY. WEST WIND 8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 23 MPH UNTIL LATE MORNING INCREASING TO
                    14 TO 19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 33 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 31 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....EXCELLENT (24085 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...BYRD
REQUESTED BY...BRUCE SCHUETTE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130213.ROADS.01/LSX