FNUS72 KMFL 131142
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR CLEAR-CUT FIRE...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
642 AM EST WED FEB 13 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0621 EST ON FEBRUARY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WAS LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF THE PENINSULA
THIS MORNING WHICH HAS ALLOWED FOR LOW CLOUDS TO DEVELOP NEAR THE
FIRE SITE. THESE CLOUDS WILL DISSIPATE AFTER SUNRISE WITH
STRATOCUMULUS DEVELOPING LATER THIS MORNING BUT RAINFALL IS NOT
EXPECTED UNTIL A COLD FRONT BEGINS TO APPROACH SOUTH FLORIDA LATER
TONIGHT. A LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WIND EARLY THIS MORNING WILL
BECOME SOUTHWEST LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON
WITH POOR TO FAIR DISPERSION THIS MORNING BECOMING VERY GOOD BY
LATE IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. AREAS OF FOG EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 58 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 24 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....15 INCREASING TO 64 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 54 LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........75     55     50     50     50     50
WEATHER COV.....AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............66     71     81     85     84     80
RH..............100    93     69     60     58     66
20 FT WIND......S 3    S 3    S 8    S 12   S 12   S 10
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      15     25     25     20
MIX HGT (FT)....2200   2200   4000   4000   4000   3500
MIXNG WIND......S 6    S 6    S 16   S 24   S 24   S 21
DISPERSION IDX..15     15     61     66     66     54
LVORI...........5      5      3      1      1      1
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    BECOMING LIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 3
                    TO 5 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....13 DECREASING TO 3 IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
LVORI...............7.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 54 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-3500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 8
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....13 INCREASING TO 18 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...BRABANDER
REQUESTED BY...GREG SUSZEK
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130213.CLEAR.01/MFL