FNUS72 KMFL 132242 FWSMFL SPOT FORECAST FOR CLEAR-CUT FIRE-NIGHT...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 542 PM EST WED FEB 13 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1720 EST ON FEBRUARY 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TO JUST NORTH OF THE BURN SITE LATE TONIGHT. CLOUD COVER AND RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT...BUT ANY RAINFALL SHOULD BE LIGHT AND LESS THAN ONE TENTH OF AN INCH. AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES...WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE AND FOG COULD DEVELOP. THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN VERY NEAR THE BURN SITE THROUGHOUT THE DAY ON THURSDAY...AND MAY MOVE THROUGH THE AREA BY THE LATE AFTERNOON. SO WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING...THEN MAY SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON AND NORTHWEST BY THE EARLY EVENING. HOWEVER...CONFIDENCE IS LOW WITH REGARDS TO WIND DIRECTION THROUGHOUT THE DAY...BUT WIND SPEEDS SHOULD REMAIN MAINLY 5 MPH OR LESS. CLOUDY SKIES AND SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE THROUGH THE DAY....WITH SHOWERS BECOMING NUMEROUS IN THE AFTERNOON THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF AN INCH ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY...WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE IF SHOWERS HAPPEN TO TRAIN OVER THE BURN SITE. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM...BUT THE OVERALL THREAT IS VERY LOW AT THE BURN SITE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 60. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT. LAL.................1. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 6 TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. DISPERSION INDEX....8. LVORI...............7. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. TIME (EST) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........60 60 60 84 84 84 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........ TEMP............78 72 69 65 65 62 RH..............71 87 97 98 100 100 20 FT WIND......SW 5 SW 5 W 2 W 2 W 2 NW 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....1900 1900 300 300 300 300 MIXNG WIND......SW 17 SW 17 W 13 NW 7 NW 7 N 6 DISPERSION IDX..12 12 6 3 3 3 LVORI...........4 4 7 9 9 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 40 40 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 82. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 55 PERCENT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-3500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....20 INCREASING TO 27 IN THE AFTERNOON. LVORI...............4. CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT. $$ FORECASTER...KENNEDY REQUESTED BY...GREG SUSZEK TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20130213.CLEAR.02/MFL