FNUS72 KMLB 132347
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR 5 1...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
647 PM EST WED FEB 13 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1850 EST ON FEBRUARY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE MAIN CONCERN FOR THE BURN AREA WILL BE BETWEEN 700
AND 730 AS A BAND OF GUSTY SHOWERS PUSHES RAPIDLY THROUGH. THERE COULD
BE ONE OR TWO LIGHTNING STRIKES WITH THIS ACTIVITY. IF THE CORE OF THE
BAND HITS THE BURN ZONE, UP TO ONE HALF INCH OF RAIN COULD FALL IN A
30 TO 45 MINUTE PERIOD ALONG WITH WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH.

WIND AND HUMIDITY CONDITIONS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR FOG FORMATION OR
ANY SIGNIFICANT SETTLING OF LOCALLY DENSE SMOKE TONIGHT AS THE LOW
LEVELS WILL REMAIN WELL MIXED. MUCH COOLER WEATHER IS ON THE WAY FROM
THURSDAY INTO THIS WEEKEND AS A SERIES OF COLD FRONTS SWEEP ACROSS
THE REGION. GENERALLY POOR DISPERSION IS FORECAST ON THURSDAY.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH QUICKLY SHIFTING
                    TO NORTHWEST AND DECREASING TO 6 TO 8 MPH THIS
                    EVENING
CHANCE OF PCPN......80-90 PERCENT CHANCE THROUGH ABOUT 800 PM, THEN
                    DECREASING TO 30-40 PERCENT THEREAFTER.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 24 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....7.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EST)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....NMS CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............72  71  69  68  67  66  65  63  62  60  59  57
RH..............81  81  84  84  84  81  81  84  84  87  87  93
20 FT WIND DIR..SW   W  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..14  13  12  10  9   8   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.20  15  15  13  11  10

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2200-2600 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....23.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...CRISTALDI
REQUESTED BY...CYNTHIA BRANHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130213.51___.02/MLB