FNUS74 KEPZ 141333
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR FT STANTON FEATHER CAVE RX...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
633 AM MST THU FEB 14 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0630 MST ON FEBRUARY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
EXPECT CLEAR SKIES TODAY WITH WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS FAIRLY SIMILAR
TO YESTERDAY...MAXING OUT AROUND 10-14 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS UP TO
ABOUT 20 MPH.  A BACK DOOR COLD FRONT WILL COME THROUGH THE AREA
TONIGHT...RESULTING IN A GRADUAL WIND SHIFT TO THE EAST OCCURRING
BETWEEN 10 PM AND 2 AM. A LITTLE BIT OF EXTRA LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
WILL MOVE IN BEHIND THE FRONT...AND SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS WILL
DEVELOP...MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN TO THE SOUTH AND NORTH.
WINDS WILL STILL BE EAST TOMORROW MORNING...BUT WILL SHIFT AROUND TO
THE WEST AND NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. EXPECT A FEW HOUR PERIOD OF
LIGHTER AND VARIABLE WINDS AS THE SHALLOW AIRMASS BEHIND THE FRONT
SLOWLY MIXES OUT.  EXPECT SLOW WARMING OVER THE WEEKEND AND WEST
WINDS WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY BREEZY ON SUNDAY. A MUCH STRONGER
SYSTEM MAY AFFECT THE AREA TOWARDS THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........25 AT IGNITION...MAX 52.
RH..................58 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 14 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 9 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS BRIEFLY TO 20
                    MPH DURING PEAK AFTERNOON HEATING/MIXING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE INCREASING TO
                    4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 KNOTS.
VENTILATION.........96,000 (GOOD)

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 20.
RH..................MAX 78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY EVENING...SHIFTING TO
                    NORTHEAST EAST 10 TO 15 MPH AROUND MIDNIGHT...THEN
                    EAST 5 TO 10 MPH BY DAWN.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-4400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1500 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 7 KNOTS.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 45.
RH..................MIN 24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING WEST-
                    NORTHWEST BY AFTERNOON...PERIOD OF VARIABLE WINDS
                    LIKELY BETWEEN 10 AM AND 2 PM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL IN THE MORNING THEN 7000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 KNOTS INCREASING IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 21 KNOTS LATE IN THE MORNING.
VENTILATION.........7000 KNOT/FEET IN THE MORNING (POOR) IMPROVING TO
                    147,000 KNOT-FEET IN THE AFTERNOON (VERY GOOD).

$$
FORECASTER...HARDIMAN
REQUESTED BY...JAMES SAVAGE
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130214.FTSTA.01/EPZ