FNUS75 KGJT 141543
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR MONTICELLO TAMARISK...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
843 AM MST THU FEB 14 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MST ON FEBRUARY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...NORTH TO NORTHWEST FLOW WILL PREVAIL THROUGH FRIDAY.
THE PASSAGE OF AN UPPER DISTURBANCE ACROSS NORTHWEST COLORADO THIS
MORNING SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO BOOST TRANSPORT WINDS AND MIXING
ENOUGH TO CLEAR THE 500 CLEARING INDEX THRESHOLD FOR A FEW HOURS
THIS AFTERNOON...BUT NOT BY MUCH. ANOTHER DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS
WESTERN COLORADO FRIDAY MORNING...BUT THE COMBINATION OF A BIT
COOLER TEMPERATURES AND WEAKER WINDS ALOFT LOOKS TO BE ENOUGH TO
KEEP THE CLEARING INDEX BELOW 500 ON FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 1-4 MPH BECOMING
                    NORTH 5-8 MPH BY 1300.
CLEARING INDEX......INCREASING TO  570 IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL AT 1200 INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 11 MPH AFTER 1200.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 1-3 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    5-8 MPH BY 1300.
CLEARING INDEX......INCREASING TO 430 IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...PAUL PLEMONS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130214.MONTI.01/GJT