FNUS71 KLWX 131637
FWSLWX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHEN HQ RX  LURAY  VA...USDI - NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1137 AM EST WED FEB 13 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EST ON FEBRUARY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

LOW PRESSURE MOVING TOWARD THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHEAST STATES WILL
BRING PRECIPITATION TO THE MID-ATLANTIC THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FOR THURSDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH
LATE FRIDAY. COLDER AIR MOVES IN FOR THE WEEKEND...ALONG WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR UNSETTLED CONDITIONS.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4400-6300 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 4200
                    FT AGL LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 15 MPH.
SURFACE WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.

TIME (EST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........26     29     34     48     50
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............38     44     48     49     48
RH..............64     51     46     44     47
20 FT WIND......W 4    W 5    SW 5   SW 6   SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     10     10     10
CWR.............0      0      0      0      10

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2100 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0-200 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH.
SURFACE WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........45     44     49     58     63     68
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............46     44     42     41     40     40
RH..............53     60     65     65     64     67
20 FT WIND......SW 6   SW 6   SW 6   SW 6   SW 6   SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10
CWR.............10     10     10     10     10     10

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2900-4500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    6200-7600 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...INCREASING TO 7400-8300 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 4300-5800 FT
                    AGL...DECREASING TO 3700 FT AGL LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH...INCREASING TO WEST 15
                    TO 24 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SURFACE WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........61     65     84     88     89     89
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............39     41     45     49     51     50
RH..............70     62     53     44     39     41
20 FT WIND......SW 5   SW 5   SW 5   SW 7   SW 9   W 9
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     15     20     20
CWR.............10     10     10     10     10     10

$$
FORECASTER...STRUCKMANN
REQUESTED BY...STEPHEN PAULL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130214.SHENH.01/LWX