FNUS72 KMFL 141129
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR NW 13 RX UNITS BR...SEMINOLE TRIBE OF FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
629 AM EST THU FEB 14 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON FEBRUARY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA THIS MORNING
WITH ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER BEHIND THE FRONT AND NUMEROUS SHOWERS.
THERE WILL ALSO BE A POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORM THIS AFTERNOON. THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT IS QUITE WEAK NEAR THIS BOUNDARY AND THE LOW
LEVEL FLOW BEHIND THE FRONT AND NEAR THE FIRE SITE WILL BE VERY
WEAK AT LESS THAN 10 MPH. THIS WILL RESULT IN THE DISPERSION TO
REMAIN POOR THIS MORNING AND ONLY BECOMING POOR TO FAIR BY LATE
MORNING AND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THE ABUNDANT MOISTURE IN THE
REGION WILL KEEP RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WELL ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY THROUGH THE DAY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 60 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 2 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    AROUND 9 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....10 INCREASING TO 24 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........90     90     90     90     90     90
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RAIN
TSTM COV........              S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
TEMP............72     77     78     76     71     67
RH..............73     62     60     64     76     87
20 FT WIND......NE 2   NE 2   W 5    NE 5   NE 5   N 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....3000   3000   3500   3000   3000   1800
MIXNG WIND......NE 5   NE 5   W 9    NE 10  NE 10  N 12
DISPERSION IDX..14     14     23     25     25     12
LVORI...........3      3      2      3      3      4
CHC OF PCPN (%).70     70     70     70     70     70
LAL.............1      1      2      2      2      2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 56.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 2
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....8 DECREASING TO 1 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LVORI...............7.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 62 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....13 INCREASING TO 21 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...BRABANDER
REQUESTED BY...KEITH YEATES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130214.NW13R.01/MFL