FNUS76 KMFR 141441
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH WARNER RX...LAKEVIEW BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
641 AM PST THU FEB 14 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PST ON FEBRUARY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE EXPANDING INLAND IS DEVELOPING LEVEL OFFSHORE
FLOW. THIS HAS BANKED UP CLOUDS AND FOG AT THE BURN AREA THIS
MORNING. THIS WILL CLEAR AND IT WILL BE ANOTHER MILD AFTERNOON.
HAVE ATTEMPTED TO ADJUST RELATIVE HUMIDITIES UPWARD BASED ON BIAS
DISCOVERED OVER THE LAST TWO DAYS. TONIGHT OFFSHORE FLOW WILL
BECOME MORE DEFINITIVE. FLOW WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST ON FRIDAY AS THE
CENTER OF THE HIGH PRESSURE PROGRESSES EAST OF THE AREA. A
STRENGTHENING INVERSION WILL BE COMBATED BY STRONGER SURFACE
HEATING AND LOWER RELATIVE HUMIDITIES. IF TEMPERATURES GET JUST A
LITTLE HIGHER THAN FORECAST ON FRIDAY MIXING COULD BE MUCH GREATER,
AS IT WILL THEN BREAK THROUGH THE INVERSION LAYER ALOFT.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING
                    THEN MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-51.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-61 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WIND 2-4 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL OR LESS UNTIL LATE MORNING, BECOMING
                    2500-3500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 6-12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....19-24.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-95 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST 1-3 MPH BECOMING EAST 2-4 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......FALLING TO 500 FT AGL OR LESS DURING THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 5-10 MPH BECOMING EAST 6-12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.


.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-52.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-44 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST 2-4 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 2-4 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL EARLY INCREASING TO 1500 FT AGL LATE
                    MORNING, INCREASING TO 2000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 6-12 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5-15 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.


$$
FORECASTER...LUTZ
REQUESTED BY...MITCH ISHIDA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130214.SOUTH.01/MFR