FNUS72 KCAE 151344
FWSCAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHERAW STATE PARK...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
844 AM EST FRI FEB 15 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON FEBRUARY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING INTO THE FORECAST AREA
WILL WEAKEN TODAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THIS FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT. IT WILL BECOME MUCH COLDER
BEHIND THE FRONT. A STRONG UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE
INTO THE FORECAST AREA SATURDAY AND BRING A CHANCE OF RAIN
OR SNOW SHOWERS. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE LIGHT TODAY WITH MIXING
HEIGHTS GENERALLY AROUND 5000 FEET DURING THE AFTERNOON.


.TODAY...
TIME (EST)          11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%)..............5   10  11  11  12  14  16
WEATHER COV..........
WEATHER TYPE.........
TEMP.................54  58  60  62  62  62  60
RH...................52  44  41  36  35  33  36
20 FT WIND DIR.......SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND DIR.......220 210 210 210 220 220 220
20 FT WIND SPD.......2   3   4   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST......5   10  10  10  15  15  10
MIX HGT (KFT)........1.5 2.1 2.9 4.0 5.0 5.3 3.7
TRANSP WIND DIR......SE  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD......5   5   6   7   7   8   8
LVORI................3   2   2   2   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EST)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)..............19     31     40     44     52     60
WEATHER COV..........
WEATHER TYPE.........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP.................55     52     47     44     42     39
RH...................45     52     65     70     76     82
20 FT WIND...........SW 3   SW 2   W 3    NW 4   N 4    N 5
20 FT WIND GUST......5      5      5      5      5      10
MIX HGT (FT).........1700   300    300    300    300    200
TRANSPORT WIND.......SW 8   W 6    W 7    W 7    W 7    NW 7
LVORI................2      2      2      3      3      4

.SATURDAY...
TIME (EST)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)..............61     71     81     86     88     84
WEATHER COV..........       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE.........NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSN
TEMP.................38     39     42     45     46     39
RH...................82     79     73     60     53     64
20 FT WIND...........N 5    N 6    N 7    N 6    N 7    NW 8
20 FT WIND GUST......10     15     20     20     20     20
MIX HGT (FT).........300    1200   1900   3800   4400   4200
TRANSPORT WIND.......NW 7   NW 9   NW 12  NW 14  NW 16  NW 16
LVORI................4      4      2      1      1      2

$$
FORECASTER...CHERRY
REQUESTED BY...TOM DOOLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130215.CHERA.01/CAE