FNUS73 KPAH 151434 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR BASS PONDS...USFWS, CRAB ORCHARD NWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 834 AM CST FRI FEB 15 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON FEBRUARY 15. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT EARLY THIS MORNING WILL USHER IN MUCH COLDER AND DRIER AIR AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND. A NORTHWEST FLOW WILL PERSIST UNTIL SATURDAY NIGHT WHEN A SOUTHERLY COMPONENT WILL TAKE OVER. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SPRINKLES OR FLURRIES EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........38 AT IGNITION...MAX 41. RH..................57 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 11 MPH CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400-5100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 TO 21 MPH. TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............38 39 39 39 39 40 39 38 RH..............57 52 50 48 46 42 44 44 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 9 9 9 8 6 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 20 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 3.5 4.3 4.8 5.1 5.0 4.3 3.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.21 21 20 20 20 18 18 17 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 22. RH..................MAX 79 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1500 FT AGL TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 13 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 16 TO 18 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............35 31 29 27 25 24 RH..............49 61 63 65 74 74 20 FT WIND......NW 5 NW 4 NW 3 NW 3 NW 4 NW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 5 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2300 700 BLW100 300 1500 2300 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 15 NW 8 NW 5 NW 6 NW 13 NW 18 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 3 3 4 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 35. RH..................MIN 34 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-4100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400-4600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 TO 23 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............23 26 32 34 RH..............74 60 41 38 20 FT WIND......NW 5G10 NW 8G15 NW 8G15 NW 9G20 MIX HGT (FT)....2500 3100 3500 4600 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 20 NW 22 NW 21 NW 22 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 4 $$ FORECASTER...HOOPER REQUESTED BY...RAY PARRISH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130215.BASSP.01/PAH