FNUS72 KTAE 150929 FWSTAE SPOT FORECAST FOR JACKSONGUARD...EGLIN AFB NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 429 AM EST FRI FEB 15 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 CST ON FEBRUARY 15. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT (850)942-8835. .DISCUSSION... RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY THOUGH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE CRITICALLY LOW ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH FLORIDA. LOW ERC AND DISPERSION VALUES WILL JUSTIFY NO WARNING. THE UNSEASONABLY COLD TEMPERATURES FORECAST ON SATURDAY WILL NOT ALLOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO FALL TO CRITICAL LEVELS...THOUGH DISPERSIONS WILL LIKELY BE QUITE HIGH. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST IN THE OUTLYING AREAS AND FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........53 AT IGNITION...MAX 63. RH..................68 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 33 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 2500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...DEEPENING TO AROUND 4500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH. DISPERSION..........MAX 35. ERC.................21. TIME (CST) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM SKY (%).........11 11 10 12 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............48 56 61 61 RH..............68 45 35 35 20 FT WIND......N 4 N 3 N 3 NW 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 TRANSPORT WIND..N 4 N 5 N 6 N 6 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 39. RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......COLLAPSING TO AROUND 1200 FT AGL SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH. DISPERSION..........MIN 9. TIME (CST) 5 PM 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM SKY (%).........12 29 41 41 53 67 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RAIN RAIN TEMP............57 51 47 46 44 42 RH..............46 61 72 76 82 88 20 FT WIND......NW 3 NW 3 NW 3 NW 3 NW 3 N 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 15 TRANSPORT WIND..N 6 NW 6 NW 8 NW 10 NW 12 NW 15 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 46. RH..................MIN 40 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS AS HIGH AS 30 MPH. CWR.................40 PERCENT DECREASING TO 30 PERCENT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......DEEPENING TO AROUND 6500 FT AGL IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION..........MAX 103. TIME (CST) 5 AM 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM SKY (%).........67 80 63 63 47 29 WEATHER COV.....S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN NONE TEMP............40 39 41 40 42 46 RH..............89 84 70 65 53 41 20 FT WIND......N 5 N 6 N 8 NW 10 NW 11 NW 13 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 25 30 30 30 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 15 NW 15 NW 20 NW 25 NW 30 NW 30 $$ FORECASTER...DONAL HARRIGAN REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130215.JACKS.01/TAE