FNUS72 KTAE 161247
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR BURN UNIT 27...US  FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
747 AM EST SAT FEB 16 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EST ON FEBRUARY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850)942-8835.

.DISCUSSION...CLOUDS AND LIGHT RAIN WILL ACCOMPANY A STRONG
COLD FRONT MOVING QUICKLY FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST TODAY. WINDY...
DRIER...AND COLDER CONDITIONS WILL FOLLOW BEHIND THE
FRONT THIS AFTERNOON...WITH RH VALUES EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW
35 PERCENT FOR A TIME LATER THIS AFTERNOON. LOW ENERGY RELEASE
COMPONENT VALUES AROUND 10 WILL PREVENT RED FLAG CRITERIA FROM
BEING REACHED AT THE BURN SITE. VERY DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON
SUNDAY...BUT OTHER PARAMETERS LIKE WIND AND DISPERSION WILL NOT
SATISFY LOCAL RED FLAG CRITERIA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (40-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO
                    16 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT THROUGH MIDDAY...THEN 10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-3300 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 23
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION..........MAX 58.

TIME (EST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........57     62     45     45     32
WEATHER COV.....       S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RAIN   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............48     51     53     54     52
RH..............67     50     38     32     33
20 FT WIND......NW 6   NW 10  NW 12  NW 13  NW 10
20 FT WIND GUST.15     30     30     30     25

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 24.
MAX HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING CALM.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 16 MPH DECREASING TO 2 TO 5 MPH
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION..........MIN 4.


TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........32     19     12     12     6      8
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............49     44     39     36     33     29
RH..............37     42     44     49     55     60
20 FT WIND......NW 8   NW 5   NW 3   NW 2   NW 2   NW 1
20 FT WIND GUST.20     15     15     10     10     5

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 2 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION..........MAX 19.


TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........8      11     11     11     11     11
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....FROST  NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............26     30     39     47     50     50
RH..............67     55     38     26     23     25
20 FT WIND......NW 1   N 2    N 2    N 3    N 3    W 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     10     10     10     5

$$

FORECASTER...MARK WOOL
REQUESTED BY...DANIEL CEDENO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130216.BURNU.01/TAE