FNUS72 KTAE 171247
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR 1002...EGLIN AFB
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
747 AM EST SUN FEB 17 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0830 CST ON FEBRUARY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850)942-8835.

.DISCUSSION...A VERY DRY AIRMASS HAS MOVED INTO THE REGION. ALTHOUGH
IT WILL BE RELATIVELY COOL TODAY...THERE WILL STILL BE ENOUGH
DAYTIME HEATING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS TO FALL WELL BELOW
CRITICAL VALUES FOR AROUND 6 TO 7 HOURS. HOWEVER...BECAUSE ERC...WIND
AND DISPERSION CRITERIA WILL BE LOW ENOUGH...RED FLAG CRITERIA WILL
NOT BE MET TODAY. WINDS AND DISPERSION INDICES WILL INCREASE ON
MONDAY. AT THIS POINT...IT LOOKS AS IF RH WILL INCREASE JUST ENOUGH
TO PRECLUDE RED FLAG CRITERIA FROM BEING MET AT THE BURN SITE.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION..........MAX 36.

TIME (CST)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........5      5      5      5      8
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............35     43     49     51     51
RH..............55     38     29     28     32
20 FT WIND......N 3    N 3    W 2    SW 3   SW 3
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     5      10     10
TRANSPORT WIND..N 4    N 6    N 6    NW 6   NW 6

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32.
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 1
                    TO 3 MPH.
DISPERSION..........MIN 2.

TIME (CST)      5 PM   7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM
SKY (%).........8      9      10     10     11     13
WEATHER COV.....                            AREAS  AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FROST  FROST
TEMP............50     43     38     35     34     34
RH..............36     51     63     71     70     74
20 FT WIND......SW 2   S 1    S 1    SE 2   SE 2   SE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      10     10     10     10
TRANSPORT WIND..W 5    CALM   CALM   CALM   SE 3   SE 4

.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 14 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 7 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 13 TO 22
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION..........MAX 73.

TIME (CST)      5 AM   7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM
SKY (%).........13     14     25     25     35     39
WEATHER COV.....AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....FROST  NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............34     36     46     58     62     62
RH..............76     74     58     39     37     41
20 FT WIND......E 2    E 4    SE 6   SE 7   SE 9   SE 9
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     20     20     20
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 4   E 6    SE 12  SE 13  SE 20  SE 22

$$

FORECASTER...MARK WOOL
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130217.1002_.01/TAE