FNUS72 KCAE 181352 FWSCAE SPOT FORECAST FOR CHERAW STATE PARK...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC 852 AM EST MON FEB 18 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON FEBRUARY 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA TODAY WILL SHIFT OFF TO THE EAST THIS AFTERNOON ALLOWING WINDS TO PICK UP FROM THE SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH. WINDS MAY REMAIN LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN SHELTERED AREAS DUE TO A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL BE SLOW TO RISE THIS MORNING DUE TO WEAK TURBULENT MIXING BUT MIXING HEIGHTS SHOULD INCREASE QUICKLY AFTER 11 AM. NIGHTTIME INVERSION SHOULD SET UP QUICKLY AROUND SUNSET. RH VALUES ARE FORECAST TO BE AROUND THE CRITICAL VALUE OF 25 PERCENT BUT DUE TO THE SNOW MELT FROM YESTERDAY...CONFIDENCE IS LOWER THAN NORMAL AS DEWPOINTS AND RESULTANT RH VALUES MAY ACTUALLY BE HIGHER THAN FORECAST. FOG IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE AN ISSUE TONIGHT WITH THE DRY AIRMASS IN PLACE. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK AFTER THE BURN VIA THE WEBSITE YOU REQUESTED THROUGH. .TODAY... TIME (EST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%)..............0 0 0 0 0 2 7 WEATHER COV.......... WEATHER TYPE......... TEMP.................45 47 52 54 56 56 55 RH...................37 34 28 26 24 25 29 20 FT WIND DIR.......S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND DIR.......180 190 200 200 200 200 190 20 FT WIND SPD.......5 5 6 6 6 6 5 20 FT WIND GUST......10 10 15 15 15 15 10 MIX HGT (KFT)........2.3 3.0 3.5 3.6 3.8 3.6 3.1 TRANSP WIND DIR......SW SW S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD......6 7 8 10 12 13 12 .TONIGHT... TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%)..............11 15 25 35 43 64 WEATHER COV.......... WEATHER TYPE.........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP.................51 47 44 42 40 38 RH...................36 42 53 62 73 82 20 FT WIND...........S 5 S 3 S 4 S 5 S 6 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST......10 5 10 10 15 15 MIX HGT (FT).........2300 500 400 400 400 400 TRANSPORT WIND.......S 10 S 8 S 7 S 8 S 9 S 9 .TUESDAY... TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%)..............86 93 99 99 98 95 WEATHER COV..........S CHC LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE WEATHER TYPE.........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP.................37 39 46 52 56 57 RH...................85 89 86 77 66 62 20 FT WIND...........SW 5 SW 6 SW 8 SW 10 SW 10 SW 9 20 FT WIND GUST......15 15 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT).........300 800 2000 2600 2900 2700 TRANSPORT WIND.......S 8 S 14 S 23 SW 25 SW 26 SW 26 $$ FORECASTER...COLEMAN REQUESTED BY...TOM DOOLEY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130218.CHERA.01/CAE