FNUS72 KILM 181645 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR PEGGYS ISLAND...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 1145 AM EST MON FEB 18 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EST ON FEBRUARY 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL PASS ACROSS THE AREA TODAY...SLIPPING OFFSHORE TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY BRINGING A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA MID WEEK. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST LATE IN THE WEEK WITH UNSETTLED WEATHER EXPECTED FRIDAY INTO SUNDAY. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52. MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3100-4900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH. MAX ADI.............38. MAX LVORI...........4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (345-44620 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............3 6 9 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................49 51 51 RH..................29 26 30 20 FT WIND..........S 2 S 3 S 4 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)........4000 4900 4300 TRANSPORT WIND......S 6 S 8 S 9 LVORI...............2 1 1 ADI.................28 33 36 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...23 39 40 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 9 MPH. MAX ADI.............16. MAX LVORI...........6. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (0-12074 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............11 18 28 38 49 59 WEATHER COV......... S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR TSTM COV............ TEMP................45 39 38 39 39 40 RH..................45 65 75 81 86 92 20 FT WIND..........S 3 S 2 S 2 S 2 SW 3 S 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)........1500 BLW100 300 300 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND......S 8 S 7 S 7 S 7 SW 8 S 8 LVORI...............2 3 4 5 5 6 ADI.................16 7 7 3 5 5 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...12 0 2 2 2 2 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64. MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3900-5000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 17 MPH. MAX ADI.............53. MAX LVORI...........8. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1380-56694 MPH-FT)...INCREASING TO GOOD TO EXCELLENT (62099-86595 MPH-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............68 78 86 94 93 81 WEATHER COV.........NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ TEMP................39 46 55 61 64 64 RH..................100 86 71 64 61 62 20 FT WIND..........S 4 S 5 SW 6 SW 8 SW 9 SW 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 10 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)........100 500 1600 3500 4900 4700 TRANSPORT WIND......S 9 S 10 SW 14 SW 16 SW 17 SW 17 LVORI...............8 4 3 1 1 1 ADI.................6 7 15 42 52 52 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...1 5 22 57 84 82 $$ FORECASTER...KEEBLER REQUESTED BY...BRIAN COUNCIL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130218.PEGGY.01/ILM