FNUS72 KJAX 181902
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR GUANA RIVER WMA...FLORIDA HIGHWAY PATROL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
202 PM EST MON FEB 18 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 EST ON FEBRUARY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MOISTURE LEVELS WILL REBOUND SIGNIFICANTLY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY
AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. EXPECT SOUTHEAST SURFACE WINDS
TO BECOME SOUTHERLY OVERNIGHT WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN
SPEEDS...AND THEN SOUTHWESTERLY WITH INCREASING SPEEDS AFTER
SUNRISE ON TUESDAY. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 MPH
BY THE LATE MORNING HOURS...WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. A COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS TO
THE REGION. DRY AIR WILL RETURN TO THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY WITH
CRITICALLY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...BUT WINDS WILL NOT INCREASE
ENOUGH FOR RED FLAG CRITERIA.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL EARLY THIS EVENING...DECREASING TO 500
                    FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 15 TO 18 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AND DECREASING
                    TO 12 TO 17 MPH LATE THIS EVENING.
DISPERSION INDEX....40 DECREASING TO 10 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........61     67     55     43     27     18
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
RH..............57     69     77     82     87     90
20 FT WIND......SE 10  SE 10  SE 9   S 9    S 9    S 9
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....2500   2000   1500   1000   500    500
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 17  SE 18  S 17   S 15   S 13   S 12
LVORI...........1      2      3      4      5      5
DISPERSION INDX.40     38     35     15     10     10

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 17 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-3000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 20
                    TO 23 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....12 INCREASING TO 49.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........19     22     28     30     30     33
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
RH..............93     93     71     56     50     50
20 FT WIND......S 10   S 13   S 15   SW 17  SW 17  SW 16
20 FT WIND GUST.15     20     20     25     25     20
MIX HGT (FT)....400    400    1700   3000   2800   2700
TRANSPORT WIND..S 10   S 15   S 22   SW 23  SW 22  SW 21
LVORI...........5      5      2      1      1      1
DISPERSION INDX.10     14     41     53     49     46

$$
FORECASTER...NELSON
REQUESTED BY...LT  J  ASBURY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130218.GUANA.02/JAX