FNUS72 KTAE 171235
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR BURN UNIT 17...U S F S
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
735 AM EST SUN FEB 17 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON FEBRUARY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850)942-8835.

.DISCUSSION... A VERY DRY AIRMASS HAS MOVED INTO THE REGION. ALTHOUGH
IT WILL BE RELATIVELY COOL TODAY...THERE WILL STILL BE ENOUGH
DAYTIME HEATING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS TO FALL WELL BELOW
CRITICAL VALUES FOR AROUND 8 HOURS. HOWEVER...BECAUSE ERC...WIND AND
DISPERSION CRITERIA WILL BE LOW ENOUGH...RED FLAG CRITERIA WILL NOT
BE MET TODAY. SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FOR MONDAY EXCEPT THAT
IT WILL NOT BE QUITE AS DRY AS WINDS SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST.

PLEASE NOTE THAT THIS FORECAST SHOULD BE CONSIDERED PRELIMINARY.
ANOTHER SPOT REQUEST SHOULD BE REQUESTED FOR THE BURN DAY ONCE THE
LATEST DATA BECOMES AVAILABLE.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4800 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION..........MAX 41.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........5      5      5      5      5      8
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....FROST  NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............28     29     40     46     50     52
RH..............65     64     40     30     25     24
20 FT WIND......NW 2   NW 2   N 4    N 4    NW 4   W 4
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 28.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........CALM WINDS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST UP TO 5 MPH.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........8      9      10     10     11     11
WEATHER COV.....                            AREAS  AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FROST  FROST
TEMP............50     42     37     33     32     31
RH..............29     42     54     63     65     69
20 FT WIND......NW 2   N 0    NE 1   NE 1   E 1    E 1
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5      5

.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 18
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........11  12  12  12  12  12  12  11  11  11  24  24
WEATHER COV.....ARS ARS
WEATHER TYPE....FST FST
TEMP............30  29  33  37  44  51  58  60  62  63  62  61
RH..............73  76  69  63  50  39  32  30  29  29  31  34
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..1   1   2   4   5   6   6   7   7   7   7   6
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15

$$

FORECASTER...MARK WOOL
REQUESTED BY...MARY OWEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130218.BURNU.01/TAE