FNUS73 KEAX 191447
FWSEAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR HQ EAST...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
847 AM CST TUE FEB 19 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1230 CST ON FEBRUARY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

GENERALLY...GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AND LOWER HUMIDITY VALUES WILL
CAUSE THE WILDFIRE RISK TO BE SLIGHTLY ELEVATED TODAY AND
WEDNESDAY. SPECIFICALLY...WINDS WILL BE GUSTY THROUGH THE MORNING
HOURS TODAY...DECRESING IN SPEED IN THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON HOURS.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-4400 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 28 TO 33 MPH DECREASING TO 21 TO 22
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........0      3      7
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............35     39     39
RH..............40     34     33
20 FT WIND......NW 14  NW 13  N 9
20 FT WIND GUST.20     15     10
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 17.
MAX HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 16 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........10     13     15     18     26     34
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............35     28     25     23     21     19
RH..............37     49     55     59     61     62
20 FT WIND......N 7    N 7    N 6    NE 7   NE 7   NE 7
20 FT WIND GUST.
HAINES INDEX....5      5      4      4      4      4

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 10
                    TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........42     52     62     73     79     84
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............17     18     26     32     37     38
RH..............62     62     46     36     33     34
20 FT WIND......E 8    E 8    E 9    E 10   E 10   E 12
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10            15     15
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...CUTTER
REQUESTED BY...DEON STEINLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130219.HQEAS.01/EAX