FNUS76 KMFR 191200
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR MCBALDY PROJECT...U.S. FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
400 AM PST TUE FEB 19 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 PST ON FEBRUARY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TODAY WITH
SOME SNOW. SNOW LEVELS WILL BE WELL BELOW THE BURN ELEVATION AND A
FEW INCHES MAY ACCUMULATE. SNOW WILL TAPER OFF TO SNOW SHOWERS BY
THIS EVENING THEN END OVERNIGHT. WEDNESDAY WILL BE DRY. ANOTHER
DISTURBANCE MAY BRING SOME SNOW SHOWERS WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY NIGHT, BUT A STRONGER FRONT WILL ARRIVE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF SIGNIFICANT SNOW. MIXING THROUGH
THE REST OF THE WEEK SHOULD BE GOOD.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SNOW SHOWERS...SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. SNOW ACCUMULATION 2-4 INCHES.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-39.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH 1-3 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST THEN NORTH 3-5
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO AROUND 5000 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST BECOMING NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
CWR.................97 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....23-26.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH 1-3 MPH IN THE EVENING, BECOMING CALM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDS AND SOME SUN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....38-41.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH BECOMING NORTHWEST 1-3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 10-15 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SPILDE
REQUESTED BY...CODY STACHER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130219.MCBAL.01/MFR