FNUS73 KSGF 191801 FWSSGF SPOT FORECAST FOR ROARING RIVER...MO DEPT NATURAL RESOURCES NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 1201 PM CST TUE FEB 19 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CST ON FEBRUARY 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON NEAR THE ROARING RIVER PRESCRIBED BURN. FULL SUNSHINE AND NORTHWEST BREEZES AT AROUND 10 MPH...WILL CREATE MIXING UP TO AROUND 4000 FEET. SURFACE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL RANGE FROM AROUND 30-40% THROUGH THE BURN DURATION. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED UNTIL WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A WINTER STORM WILL IMPACT THE BURN AREA...WITH MAINLY SLEET ACCUMULATIONS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....41 AT IGNITION...MAX 44. MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 32 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. WIND SHIFT..........NO WIND SHIFT. CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAXIMUM 4000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17 TO 26 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 16 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TEMP............41 44 40 RH..............36 32 37 20 FT WIND......NW 10 NW 8 NW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 10 MIX HGT (FT)....3800 3900 2800 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 24 NW 20 NW 16 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 22. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 59 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. WIND SHIFT..........WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST. CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A. TRANSPORT WINDS.....N/A. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............37 32 30 28 27 26 RH..............42 48 50 53 54 55 20 FT WIND......NW 4 N 3 N 3 NE 3 NE 4 NE 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2100 900 400 500 500 500 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 14 N 13 N 12 NE 12 NE 10 E 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 37. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 44 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. WIND SHIFT..........NO WIND SHIFT. CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE SNOW RNSN RNSN RNSN TEMP............23 24 29 34 37 37 RH..............60 59 51 46 44 46 20 FT WIND......E 5 E 5 E 5 SE 6 SE 6 E 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 15 MIX HGT (FT)....500 500 1200 1600 1200 1000 TRANSPORT WIND..E 8 E 8 E 8 SE 9 SE 13 SE 17 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 20 30 30 30 HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 4 3 2 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. PERIODS OF LIGHT SLEET AND SNOW LIKELY. LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. RAIN. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 28. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 68 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. WIND SHIFT..........NO WIND SHIFT. CHANCE OF PRECIP....90 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 21 TO 40 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY PERIOD DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....SNOW SNOW FZRAIN FZRAIN FZRAIN FZRAIN FZRAIN FZRAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP............35 34 32 30 29 29 29 31 34 35 37 37 RH..............53 61 70 77 78 79 83 81 81 82 82 81 20 FT WIND......E 6 E 8 E 9 E 10 E 12 E 14 SE 14 SE 14 SE 14 SE 13 SE 10 SE 10 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 20 20 25 30 30 30 30 30 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....1200 1200 1300 1300 1300 1300 1100 1200 1300 1300 1200 1000 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 22 SE 25 SE 28 E 30 E 32 SE 35 SE 37 SE 39 SE 40 SE 39 SE 33 S 25 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 60 80 80 80 90 90 90 90 50 50 30 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 2 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...CRAMER REQUESTED BY...TIM SMITH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130219.ROARI.01/SGF