FNUS73 KPAH 201609 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR TA 25...DOD NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 1009 AM CST WED FEB 20 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON FEBRUARY 20. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... LOW DEWPOINTS WILL LINGER INTO THURSDAY MORNING...YIELDING LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES EVEN WITH HIGHS ONLY IN THE MIDDLE 30S. HIGH CLOUDS WILL LIMIT PEAK TEMPERATURES TODAY. ENERGY AND MOISTURE FROM AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SHOULD FINALLY OVERCOME THE DRY AIR MASS IN PLACE BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON...PRODUCING PRIMARILY RAIN. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........31 AT IGNITION...MAX 35. RH..................41 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 25 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2400-3300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 18 MPH. TIME (CST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............31 33 33 34 34 34 33 RH..............41 32 29 25 28 32 37 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 5 5 4 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.0 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 12 10 10 9 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 25. RH..................MAX 68 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 900-1600 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 15 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............32 30 29 28 27 26 RH..............41 48 51 52 54 58 20 FT WIND......N 2 NE 3 NE 4 NE 4 NE 3 NE 4 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2900 2000 1200 900 1400 1600 TRANSPORT WIND..N 9 NE 13 E 14 E 13 E 10 E 13 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 43. RH..................MIN 30 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 73 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 17 TO 26 MPH INCREASING TO 29 TO 33 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC LIKELY DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....NONE FZRAIN RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............26 31 39 43 RH..............61 51 36 36 20 FT WIND......E 5 E 6G10 E 7G10 E 5G10 MIX HGT (FT)....1500 1900 2100 1900 TRANSPORT WIND..E 17 E 24 E 24 E 29 CWR.............0 0 70 70 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 4 $$ FORECASTER...BLANCHARD REQUESTED BY...ERIC STRICKLAND TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130220.TA25_.01/PAH