FNUS72 KILM 211404 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR BLADEN POKORNE TRACT...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 904 AM EST THU FEB 21 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON FEBRUARY 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL NOSE INTO BLADEN COUNTY FROM THE NORTH TODAY...BUT WILL MOVE OFFSHORE TONIGHT AS MOISTURE INCREASES FROM THE SOUTHWEST AHEAD OF A STORM SYSTEM THAT MAY BRING SEVERAL INCHES OF RAIN FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. NORTH BREEZES WILL BE STRONGEST (4-7 MPH) THIS MORNING BUT WILL DECREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON CAUSING LESS FAVORABLE SMOKE TRANSPORT CONDITIONS AND LOWER BURN CATEGORIES. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56. MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 3900 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 9 MPH. MAX ADI.............31. MAX LVORI...........3. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (31509 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............10 12 21 25 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................47 53 56 54 RH..................30 24 23 32 20 FT WIND..........N 5 N 5 N 3 N 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....8 6 6 5 MIX HGT (FT)........2700 3400 3900 2700 TRANSPORT WIND......N 8 N 9 N 8 N 7 LVORI...............2 1 2 2 ADI.................24 31 30 23 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...22 31 32 18 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN LATE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34. MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH. MAX ADI.............7. MAX LVORI...........4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (9200 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............25 35 55 75 87 91 WEATHER COV......... S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE RAIN TSTM COV............ TEMP................50 43 40 38 35 34 RH..................39 52 59 64 73 81 20 FT WIND..........NE 2 NE 2 NE 2 NE 3 NE 4 NE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 10 MIX HGT (FT)........1300 BLW100 300 300 200 300 TRANSPORT WIND......NE 7 NE 7 NE 7 NE 8 NE 9 NE 10 LVORI...............2 2 3 3 3 4 ADI.................3 3 3 5 6 7 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...9 0 2 2 2 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50. MIN HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 TO 13 MPH. MAX ADI.............24. MAX LVORI...........4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (4485-25644 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............95 97 98 99 99 99 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY WEATHER TYPE........RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TSTM COV............ TEMP................35 37 41 45 47 47 RH..................81 81 78 73 73 79 20 FT WIND..........E 5 E 5 E 5 E 5 E 5 E 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)........400 800 1500 2100 2200 1800 TRANSPORT WIND......E 12 E 12 E 12 E 12 E 12 E 13 LVORI...............4 4 3 3 3 3 ADI.................13 13 18 23 23 23 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...4 9 17 24 25 23 $$ FORECASTER...ARMSTRONG REQUESTED BY...BRIAN COUNCIL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130221.BLADE.01/ILM