FNUS72 KILM 211339 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR BRUNSWICK TAYLOR TRACT...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 839 AM EST THU FEB 21 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EST ON FEBRUARY 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL NOSE INTO BRUNSWICK COUNTY FROM THE NORTH TODAY...BUT WILL MOVE OFFSHORE TONIGHT AS MOISTURE INCREASES FROM THE SOUTHWEST AHEAD OF A STORM SYSTEM THAT MAY BRING SEVERAL INCHES OF RAIN FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. NORTH BREEZES WILL BE STRONGEST (7-10 MPH) THIS MORNING BUT WILL DECREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON CAUSING LESS FAVORABLE SMOKE TRANSPORT CONDITIONS AND LOWER BURN CATEGORIES. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56. MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5-7 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 3400 FT BY EARLY AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 MPH. MAX ADI.............32. MAX LVORI...........3. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (31000 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............10 15 24 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................52 55 55 RH..................33 33 35 20 FT WIND..........N 4 N 4 N 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)........2700 3200 3400 TRANSPORT WIND......N 9 N 9 N 9 LVORI...............2 1 2 ADI.................28 32 28 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...25 29 31 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN LATE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41. MAX HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT NORTH WINDS...BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 13 MPH. MAX ADI.............11. MAX LVORI...........3. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0-10465 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............25 35 54 73 84 86 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................51 47 45 44 42 41 RH..................44 53 57 59 66 70 20 FT WIND..........N 3 N 4 NE 4 NE 5 NE 5 NE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)........1300 BLW100 300 200 200 300 TRANSPORT WIND......N 8 N 9 NE 9 NE 10 NE 12 NE 13 LVORI...............2 2 3 3 3 3 ADI.................4 6 6 7 10 11 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...10 0 2 3 2 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52. MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 14 TO 15 MPH. MAX ADI.............28. MAX LVORI...........4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (16214-29899 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............88 91 95 98 99 99 WEATHER COV.........S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE........RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TSTM COV............ TEMP................43 44 47 49 51 50 RH..................69 72 73 73 77 84 20 FT WIND..........NE 6 NE 6 E 6 E 6 E 6 E 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)........1200 1700 1800 2100 2100 1800 TRANSPORT WIND......NE 14 NE 14 E 14 E 14 E 14 E 15 LVORI...............3 3 3 3 3 4 ADI.................20 25 25 27 28 27 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...16 24 24 29 30 27 $$ FORECASTER...ARMSTRONG REQUESTED BY...BRIAN COUNCIL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130221.BRUNS.01/ILM