FNUS72 KILM 211447 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR MRYTLE HEAD...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 947 AM EST THU FEB 21 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1005 EST ON FEBRUARY 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL NOSE INTO COLUMBUS AND BRUNSWICK COUNTIES FROM THE NORTH TODAY...BUT WILL MOVE OFFSHORE TONIGHT AS MOISTURE INCREASES FROM THE SOUTHWEST AHEAD OF A STORM SYSTEM THAT MAY BRING SEVERAL INCHES OF RAIN FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. NORTH-NORTHEAST BREEZES WILL BE STRONGEST (7-11 MPH) THIS MORNING BUT WILL DECREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON CAUSING LESS FAVORABLE SMOKE TRANSPORT CONDITIONS AND LOWER BURN CATEGORIES WITH TIME. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57. MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH-NORTHEAST AROUND 7-10 MPH THIS MORNING... THEN BECOMING NORTH 5 MPH THIS AFTERNOON...AND FINALLY BECOMING LIGHT LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 3700 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 10 MPH. MAX ADI.............33. MAX LVORI...........3. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (34155 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............9 10 15 25 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................46 53 56 56 RH..................36 29 26 34 20 FT WIND..........N 8 N 6 N 5 NE 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 9 7 5 MIX HGT (FT)........1900 3000 3700 3600 TRANSPORT WIND......N 10 N 9 N 9 NE 8 LVORI...............2 2 1 2 ADI.................22 29 33 28 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...19 28 34 29 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN LATE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39. MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT NORTH WINDS...BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH OVERNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH. MAX ADI.............10. MAX LVORI...........4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (10350 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............27 37 56 74 86 89 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................52 47 45 43 40 39 RH..................45 56 60 63 71 77 20 FT WIND..........NE 3 NE 3 NE 4 NE 5 NE 5 NE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)........1300 BLW100 300 200 200 300 TRANSPORT WIND......NE 8 NE 8 NE 9 NE 10 NE 10 NE 12 LVORI...............2 3 3 3 3 4 ADI.................4 5 6 7 7 10 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...10 0 2 3 2 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52. MIN HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 13 MPH. MAX ADI.............24. MAX LVORI...........4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (24839 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............93 96 98 99 99 99 WEATHER COV.........S CHC CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE........RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TSTM COV............ TEMP................40 42 46 49 50 49 RH..................76 77 75 75 79 85 20 FT WIND..........NE 6 E 6 E 6 E 6 E 6 E 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)........1000 1500 1700 1900 1900 1700 TRANSPORT WIND......NE 13 E 13 E 13 E 13 E 13 E 13 LVORI...............4 3 3 3 3 4 ADI.................16 21 22 24 24 22 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...12 19 21 24 25 21 $$ FORECASTER...ARMSTRONG REQUESTED BY...BRIAN COUNCIL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130221.MRYTL.01/ILM