FNUS72 KILM 211558 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR PENDER WHITEHEAD...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 1058 AM EST THU FEB 21 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1145 EST ON FEBRUARY 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL NOSE INTO PENDER COUNTY FROM THE NORTH TODAY...BUT WILL MOVE OFFSHORE TONIGHT AS MOISTURE INCREASES FROM THE SOUTHWEST AHEAD OF A STORM SYSTEM THAT MAY BRING SEVERAL INCHES OF RAIN FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. NORTH-NORTHEAST BREEZES WILL DECREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON CAUSING LESS FAVORABLE SMOKE TRANSPORT CONDITIONS AND LOWER BURN CATEGORIES WITH TIME. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54. MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON... BECOMING LIGHT LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH. MAX ADI.............34. MAX LVORI...........2. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (36225 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............1 3 8 15 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................49 53 54 53 RH..................33 30 30 34 20 FT WIND..........N 5 N 4 NE 3 NE 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....9 8 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)........2600 3400 3600 2600 TRANSPORT WIND......N 9 N 9 N 9 N 9 LVORI...............2 1 1 2 ADI.................27 32 34 27 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...24 31 36 24 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN LATE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38. MAX HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT NORTH WINDS...BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 MPH OVERNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH. MAX ADI.............10. MAX LVORI...........3. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0-12189 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............20 34 54 73 84 86 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................50 45 43 41 39 38 RH..................40 50 54 58 65 70 20 FT WIND..........NE 2 N 4 NE 4 NE 5 NE 5 NE 5 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)........1300 BLW100 300 200 200 300 TRANSPORT WIND......N 9 N 9 NE 9 NE 10 NE 12 NE 12 LVORI...............2 2 2 3 2 3 ADI.................4 4 6 7 10 10 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...12 0 2 3 2 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52. MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 13 TO 14 MPH. MAX ADI.............28. MAX LVORI...........3. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (12879-33465 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............88 91 94 97 98 98 WEATHER COV.........S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE........RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TSTM COV............ TEMP................40 41 45 49 50 50 RH..................69 73 73 69 72 78 20 FT WIND..........NE 6 NE 6 E 6 E 6 E 6 E 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 10 15 MIX HGT (FT)........1000 1500 1600 2400 2600 2000 TRANSPORT WIND......NE 13 NE 13 E 13 E 13 E 13 E 14 LVORI...............3 3 3 3 3 3 ADI.................16 21 22 27 28 27 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...13 19 21 30 33 28 $$ FORECASTER...ARMSTRONG REQUESTED BY...BRIAN COUNCIL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130221.PENDE.02/ILM