FNUS75 KGJT 221556
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BARNSVILLE 12...SOUTHERN UTE AGENCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
856 AM MST FRI FEB 22 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MST ON FEBRUARY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A DISTURBANCE IN NORTH TO NORTHWEST ALOFT TODAY WILL
KEEP ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AROUND THE BURN SITE
THROUGH TODAY. COLDER AIR ALOFT AND THE PASSING DISTURBANCE SHOULD
KEEP MIXING AND TRANSPORT WINDS SUFFICIENT FOR FAIR TO GOOD SMOKE
DISPERSAL THIS AFTERNOON. WARMING ALOFT LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY
WILL RESULT IN MORE STABLE CONDITIONS THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. A STRONG COLD FRONT SHOULD REACH THE BURN AREA LATE SATURDAY
EVENING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%) ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL
                    1100...THEN SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....30-35 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-4 MPH BECOMING WEST 10-15 MPH
                    AFTER 1200.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1600-8700 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 1200 THEN FAIR
                    BECOMING GOOD.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN INCREASING TO
                    6000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 MPH AFTER 1200.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70%) UNTIL 2100...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (30-40%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....10-15 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........72-80%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10-15 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    NORTH 5 MPH BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-4 MPH
                    BY MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....DECREASING TO POOR (2100-7300 KNOT-FT) BY 2100.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL BY 2100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 25 MPH DECREASING TO 15 MPH BY 2100 AND
                    BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH BY MIDNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (70%) AFTER 1200. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS
                    AFTER 1600.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-39 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-4 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5-10 MPH INCREASING TO 10-15 MPH
                    AFTER 1600.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1500-3600 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR
                    (48700 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2000 FT BY 1200 AND
                    4000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 MPH AFTER 1200.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...MATT FLYING
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130222.BARNS.01/GJT