FNUS72 KJAX 231914 FWSJAX SPOT FORECAST FOR SADDLEBAG LAKE...MARION COUNTY FIRE RESCUE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 214 PM EST SAT FEB 23 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1350 EST ON FEBRUARY 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION TONIGHT AND STALL ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA SUNDAY. THE FRONT WILL LIFT BACK TO THE NORTH AS A WARM FRONT ON MONDAY WITH THE NEXT COLD FRONT PUSHING THROUGH ON TUESDAY. THE RESULT WILL BE NUMEROUS SHOWERS... ALONG WITH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS...INTO TUESDAY MORNING. SOME STORMS MAY BE STRONG AND PRODUCE STRONG WIND GUSTS. BREEZY CONDITIONS ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON AND AREA WIDE ON TUESDAY. DRIER AIR WILL MOVE IN BEHIND THE FRONT MID WEEK WITH MIN RH'S NEAR CRITICALLY LOW LEVELS BUT NO RED FLAGS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...WIDESPREAD LOW CLOUDS WITH PATCHY FOG IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. MOST VISIBILITIES WILL BE IN THE 2 TO 5 MILE RANGE. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86. MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 15 MPH. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-4400 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........WEST 23 TO 24 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....68 INCREASING TO 91. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. TIME (EST) 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........50 47 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE TEMP............83 83 RH..............48 51 20 FT WIND......SW 15 SW 14 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 MIX HGT (FT)....4400 4300 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 23 W 23 DISPERSION INDX.68 78 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 LAL.............1 1 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-3600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-1100 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIXING WINDS........WEST 18 TO 24 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. DISPERSION INDEX....30 DECREASING TO 5. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. LVORI...............5. TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........55 61 66 70 75 84 WEATHER COV..... ISOLTD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............80 74 68 67 66 65 RH..............58 71 90 97 100 100 20 FT WIND......SW 9 SW 7 SW 7 SW 5 SW 5 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....3600 1900 600 200 100 100 TRANSPORT WIND..W 24 W 18 SW 9 SW 5 SW 5 SW 6 LVORI...........1 3 5 7 9 9 DISPERSION INDX.33 16 7 5 4 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 20 40 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80. MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. LAL.................2 UNTIL 0900...THEN 1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-4000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 18 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 38 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 41 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 30. CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........91 91 89 87 87 89 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............65 66 70 77 80 80 RH..............99 98 89 65 56 57 20 FT WIND......SW 5 W 5 W 6 NW 7 NW 7 N 6 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....100 100 700 2400 3200 4000 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 5 W 5 W 8 W 13 W 13 W 10 DISPERSION INDX.6 6 10 34 42 38 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 60 40 50 50 40 LAL.............2 2 1 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...PETERSON REQUESTED BY...LIAM LIVINGSTON TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20130223.SADDL.01/JAX