FNUS73 KJKL 251045 FWSJKL SPOT FORECAST FOR COTTON PATCH...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 545 AM EST MON FEB 25 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON FEBRUARY 25. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST TODAY WITH HIGHS CLIMBING INTO THE 50S. WINDS WILL STAY RELATIVELY LIGHT TODAY FROM THE EAST WITH AFTERNOON SPEEDS AROUND 10 MPH AS RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FALL TO AROUND 25 PERCENT. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BRING NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS INTO CENTRAL AND EASTERN KENTUCKY LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS AT TIMES. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS THEN EXPECTED TO SLOWLY PUSH EAST ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY FROM TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...KEEPING UNSETTLED WEATHER IN THE FORECAST. RAIN MAY MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO SNOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY WITH SOME LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59. MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. SURROUNDING RIDGE...EAST 5 TO 10 MPH. RIDGETOP WIND.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH. POP.................10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....33. TIME (EST) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........36 45 53 70 87 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............44 53 58 59 54 RH..............52 37 29 30 40 20 FT WIND......E 3 E 5 E 7 E 6 E 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE EVENING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42. MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH LATE. SURROUNDING RIDGE...EAST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH LATE. RIDGETOP WIND.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH LATE. POP.................90 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........91 94 97 100 100 100 WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............51 48 46 43 43 44 RH..............49 58 64 75 81 82 20 FT WIND......E 3 E 2 E 3 E 6 E 9 SE 9 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 10 15 20 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54. MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS TO 25 MPH. SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS TO 30 MPH. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS TO 30 MPH. POP.................100 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....71. TIME (EST) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........100 100 100 80 70 75 WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............45 47 51 54 54 51 RH..............83 82 74 69 63 64 20 FT WIND......SE 10 SE 10 S 12 S 12 SW 14 SW 12 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 25 20 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...GREIF REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130225.COTTO.01/JKL