FNUS73 KAPX 281335
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR KINGS PILES...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
835 AM EST THU FEB 28 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON FEBRUARY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE SYSTEM THAT IS BRINGING US THE LIGHT SNOW IS
MOVING EAST TODAY AND HIGH PRESSURE IS BUILDING INTO THE UPPER
GREAT LAKES. AS THE LOW CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO NEW ENGLAND, THE
SNOW WILL TAPER OFF. THE WINDS WILL ALSO BEGIN TO DIMINISH AS
WELL. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN STEADY OR SLOWLY FALL
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON DUE TO THE NORTH WIND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...BECOMING SCATTERED EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........31 AT IGNITION...MAX 33.
RH..................85 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 66 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 11 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTH WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
                    MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 21 TO 28 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2000-3200
                    FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (800) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT
                    (800).

TIME (EST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
WEATHER COV.....DEF NUM NUM NUM SCT SCT SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TEMP............31  31  32  33  33  33  32  31
RH..............85  78  72  69  69  66  69  69
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD..10  11  11  11  12  12  12  11
20 FT WIND GUST.20  25  25  25  25  25  25  25
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
SMOKE DISP......800 800 700 700 700 700 700 700

.TONIGHT...

WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 21 TO 26 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2600 FT AGL.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN GOOD(400).

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD..9   8   7   7   8   8   8   8   8   7   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.20  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
SMOKE DISP......700 700 700 700 700 700 600 500 500 400 400 400

$$
FORECASTER...JEFF LUTZ
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN STEARNS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130228.KINGS.01/APX