FNUS72 KILM 281744
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR JONES TRACT...NC FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1244 PM EST THU FEB 28 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1305 EST ON FEBRUARY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
FAIR WEATHER WILL PREVAIL THROUGH FRIDAY ALTHOUGH GUSTY WEST
WINDS WILL BLOW TODAY. AN APPROACHING SYSTEM SATURDAY WILL BRING
A CHANCE OF COLD RAIN OR SNOW FLURRIES SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING FOLLOWED BY FAIR AND COOL WEATHER SUNDAY INTO EARLY MONDAY.
ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM COULD BRING RAIN OR POSSIBLY SNOW LATE NEXT
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

BROTAK WIND PROFILE TODAY.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25
                    MPH...INCREASING TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-5200 FT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17 TO 24 MPH.
MAX ADI.............86.
MAX LVORI...........4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (0-43585 MPH-FT)...INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (97864-146510 MPH-FT).

TIME (EST)          1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............48     57     52
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................57     58     53
RH..................45     42     85
20 FT WIND..........W 11   W 10   W 8
20 FT WIND GUST.....30     25     20
MIX HGT (FT)........5900   6400   4300
TRANSPORT WIND......W 17   W 23   W 23
LVORI...............1      1      1
ADI.................72     86     68
VRATE MPH-FT/1000...101    147    98

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
MAX HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20
                    MPH...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17 TO 21 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH...THEN
                    BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE EVENING...BECOMING
                    WEST 9 TO 13 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5
                    MPH LATE...BECOMING LIGHT.
MAX ADI.............42.
MAX LVORI...........3.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (0-45310 MPH-FT).

TIME (EST)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............35     27     25     23     22     23
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................51     46     42     40     39     37
RH..................44     52     59     63     66     69
20 FT WIND..........W 7    W 6    W 5    W 5    W 5    W 4
20 FT WIND GUST.....20     15     15     10     10     5
MIX HGT (FT)........2200   BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100
TRANSPORT WIND......W 21   W 10   S 0    W 9    W 9    S 0
LVORI...............1      2      3      3      3      3
ADI.................42     6      1      4      6      5
VRATE MPH-FT/1000...45     0      0      0      0      0

$$
FORECASTER...COLBY
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN COUNCIL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130228.JONES.01/ILM