FNUS72 KILM 281500
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR MURFAM BURN...NC FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1000 AM EST THU FEB 28 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1015 EST ON FEBRUARY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
FAIR WEATHER WILL PREVAIL THROUGH FRIDAY ALTHOUGH GUSTY WEST
WINDS WILL BLOW TODAY. AN APPROACHING SYSTEM SATURDAY WILL BRING
A CHANCE OF COLD RAIN OR SNOW FLURRIES SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING FOLLOWED BY FAIR AND COOL WEATHER SUNDAY INTO EARLY MONDAY.
ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM COULD BRING RAIN OR POSSIBLY SNOW LATE NEXT
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

BROTAK WIND PROFILE TODAY.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (12-29 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING THROUGH AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2800-4000 FT AGL
                    LATE MORNING...THEN 4900-6600 FT THIS AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 13 MPH...INCREASING TO 15 TO 24 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX ADI.............82.
MAX LVORI...........4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (0-41400 MPH-FT)...INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (100279-150765 MPH-FT).

TIME (EST)          10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............2      11     17     31
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................51     53     56     58
RH..................55     40     40     31
20 FT WIND..........W 8    W 10   W 10   W 9
20 FT WIND GUST.....20     25     25     20
MIX HGT (FT)........4000   5600   6500   6000
TRANSPORT WIND......NW 10  W 15   W 21   W 24
LVORI...............2      1      1      1
ADI.................25     63     78     80
VRATE MPH-FT/1000...41     84     134    145

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.
MAX HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 TO 20 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 9 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE
                    IN THE EVENING...BECOMING WEST 9 TO 14 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT.
MAX ADI.............54.
MAX LVORI...........3.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (0-43700 MPH-FT).

TIME (EST)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............25     21     19     18     17     16
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................50     45     42     40     38     37
RH..................41     49     58     62     66     70
20 FT WIND..........W 6    W 5    W 5    W 5    W 5    W 4
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     15     10     10     5
MIX HGT (FT)........2200   BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 100    BLW100
TRANSPORT WIND......W 20   W 9    S 0    W 9    W 9    S 0
LVORI...............1      2      2      3      3      3
ADI.................54     11     11     6      6      6
VRATE MPH-FT/1000...44     0      0      0      0      0

$$
FORECASTER...COLBY
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN COUNCIL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130228.MURFA.01/ILM