FNUS72 KJAX 281322
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CARY...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
822 AM EST THU FEB 28 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EST ON FEBRUARY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WESTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE DURING THE MID-MORNING HOURS AS A
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH OUR REGION.
SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS WILL RISE TO THE 15 TO 20 MPH RANGE BY LATE
MORNING...WITH GUSTS TO 25 TO 30 MPH EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. A
VERY DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THE WEEKEND...AND
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL TO THE 25 TO 30 PERCENT RANGE
EACH AFTERNOON. DISPERSION VALUES WILL APPROACH OR BRIEFLY EXCEED
CRITICAL THRESHOLDS THIS AFTERNOON. DUE TO RECENT HEAVY RAINS IN
OUR AREA...WE DID NOT ISSUE A RED FLAG WARNING FOR NORTHEAST
FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...
NO FOG CONCERNS ARE ANTICIPATED DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL NIGHTS.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4600-5200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 25 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....9 INCREASING TO 86 BY EARLY AFTERNOON.

TIME (EST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........15     14     11     12     34
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............58     63     67     68     64
RH..............69     47     37     29     38
20 FT WIND......W 10   W 14   W 16   W 16   W 14
20 FT WIND GUST.15     20     25     25     20
MIX HGT (FT)....2900   4000   4600   5200   4600
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 21  W 23   W 25   W 25   W 25

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 900-2000 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 17 TO 24 MPH DECREASING TO 9 TO 14
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....91 DECREASING TO 11.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........34     51     65     71     76     81
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............60     50     46     43     40     38
RH..............38     56     66     72     77     81
20 FT WIND......W 12   W 8    W 8    NW 7   NW 6   NW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....4000   2900   2000   1500   1200   900
TRANSPORT WIND..W 24   W 22   NW 20  NW 14  NW 10  NW 9

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4200 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 8 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 17
                    TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....14 INCREASING TO 64.

$$
FORECASTER...SHULER
REQUESTED BY...PAT DEREN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130228.CARY_.01/JAX