FNUS74 KLZK 011359 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR LAKE SYLVIA...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 759 AM CST FRI MAR 1 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CST ON MARCH 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... OVERCAST SKIES EARLY WILL GIVE WAY TO PARTLY CLOUDY OR MAYBE EVEN MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES BY LATE AFTERNOON. WINDS AT THE BURN SITE THIS MORNING SHOULD BE NORTHWEST AROUND 5-10 MPH. THIS WIND DIRECTION WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY. ALSO...WIND SPEEDS WILL BE STEADY THIS MORNING...BUT BECOME MORE SPORADIC AS MIXED LAYER DEEPENS. GUST POTENTIAL WILL BE A LITTLE HIGHER IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS...MAYBE TO AROUND 20 MPH AT THE SFC...BUT EXPECT THOSE TYPE GUSTS TO BE LESS FREQUENT THAN MID TEENS GUSTS THAT WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL BE SLOW TO RISE THROUGH THE MORNING AS CLOUD COVER WILL HELP KEEP TEMPS...AND THUS THE MIXED LAYER...FROM CLIMBING TOO QUICKLY. BUT DO EXPECT MIXING HEIGHTS TO REACH UP TO AROUND OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE 5000 FT ABOVE SEA LEVEL. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........38 AT IGNITION...MAX 42. RH..................61 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 44 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS........NORTHWEST 9 TO 15 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 5200 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....2. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS NORTHWEST AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. LVORI...............1. TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............38 39 41 42 42 42 42 42 RH..............61 56 52 48 46 44 44 47 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 10 10 12 12 10 9 20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 11 14 14 14 11 11 EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 6 6 7 7 6 5 EYE LVL WND GST.6 6 6 8 8 8 6 6 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 15 15 15 15 15 14 LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 27. RH..................MAX 72 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. LVORI...............1. TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............40 37 35 34 33 32 31 30 30 29 28 28 RH..............47 53 58 61 64 66 69 70 71 72 72 72 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 7 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.11 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW EYE LVL WND SPD.5 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 EYE LVL WND GST.6 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 41. RH..................MIN 37 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. LVORI...............1. TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC PC PC PC PC PC PC MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............28 27 28 31 34 36 38 39 40 41 41 40 RH..............72 71 66 58 51 46 42 39 38 37 37 38 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW N N N N N N NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 8 9 10 10 10 10 10 9 8 7 20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 7 EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NW N N N N N N NW NW NW NW EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 4 EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 4 LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 $$ FORECASTER...44 REQUESTED BY...USFS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130301.LAKES.01/LZK