FNUS74 KLZK 011206 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR M O IRONS FORK TORNADO AREA...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 606 AM CST FRI MAR 1 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CST ON MARCH 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... OVERCAST SKIES EARLY WILL GIVE WAY TO PARTLY CLOUDY OR MAYBE EVEN MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES BY LATE AFTERNOON. WINDS AT THE BURN SITE THIS MORNING SHOULD BE NORTHWEST AROUND 5-10 MPH...WITH GUSTS INTO THE MID TEENS PER OBSERVATIONS FROM MENA. THIS WIND DIRECTION WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY. ALSO...WIND SPEEDS WILL BE STEADY THIS MORNING...BUT BECOME MORE SPORADIC AS MIXED LAYER DEEPENS AFTER DAYBREAK. GUST POTENTIAL WILL BE A LITTLE HIGHER IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS...MAYBE TO AROUND 20 MPH AT THE SFC...BUT EXPECT THOSE TYPE GUSTS TO BE LESS FREQUENT THAN MID TEENS GUSTS THAT WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL BE SLOW TO RISE THROUGH THE MORNING AS CLOUD COVER WILL HELP KEEP TEMPS...AND THUS THE MIXED LAYER...FROM CLIMBING TOO QUICKLY. BUT DO EXPECT MIXING HEIGHTS TO REACH UP TO AROUND OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE 5000 FT ABOVE SEA LEVEL. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........39 AT IGNITION...MAX 44. RH..................67 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........NORTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 5200 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS NORTHWEST AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. LVORI...............1. TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............39 40 42 43 44 44 44 43 RH..............67 60 54 49 46 44 43 46 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..12 13 13 13 13 13 13 12 20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 18 18 18 18 14 14 EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW EYE LVL WND SPD.7 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 EYE LVL WND GST.8 8 11 11 11 11 8 8 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.21 21 21 21 21 21 20 18 LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 26. RH..................MAX 83 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........NORTH 14 TO 18 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 2200 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. LVORI...............1. TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............41 38 35 34 33 32 30 29 29 28 27 27 RH..............46 53 58 62 66 70 73 76 78 80 82 83 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 10 10 9 9 9 8 8 8 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW EYE LVL WND SPD.7 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 EYE LVL WND GST.8 8 8 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N TRANSP WIND SPD.18 17 17 16 16 15 15 15 14 14 14 14 LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 .SATURDAY... 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. LVORI...............1. TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 9 9 10 12 12 12 12 12 10 9 20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 11 11 11 14 14 14 14 14 11 11 LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 $$ FORECASTER...C DALTON REQUESTED BY...ADAM STROTHERS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130301.MOIRO.01/LZK