FNUS74 KEPZ 020408
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR COYOTE CANYON...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
908 PM MST FRI MAR 1 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 MST ON MARCH 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
NOTE...FORECAST DETAILS ARE UNCERTAIN DUE TO LACK OF FEEDBACK
OBSERVATIONS.

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL SLOWLY BUILD EASTWARD ON SATURDAY.
THIS WILL RESULT IN WARMING TEMPERATURES...CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS...
AND GENERALLY VERY LIGHT WINDS. THE LIGHT WINDS COMBINED WITH A
SUBSIDENCE INVERSION AND SHALLOW MIXING HEIGHTS WILL YIELD POOR VENT
RATES ACROSS THE TULAROSA BASIN.

THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BREAK DOWN ON SUNDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
MOVES THROUGH THE CENTRAL ROCKIES. A TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL
LEAD TO STRONGER WINDS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND WARMER/DRIER CONDITIONS.
THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE
MET SUNDAY AFTERNOON.


.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........TERRAIN-DRIVEN DRAINAGE FLOWS 3 TO 5 MPH IN THE
                    MORNING...BECOMING WEST 4 TO 6 MPH AROUND MIDDAY.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1200 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
                    5400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 4 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........MAX 21,600 KNOT-FEET (POOR)

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
MAX HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-1100 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 4 KNOTS.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
MIN HUMIDITY........5-10 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 7 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 15 TO 22 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON
                    WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6700-7800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 16 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........MAX 124,800 KNOT-FEET (VERY GOOD)


$$
FORECASTER...HARDIMAN
REQUESTED BY...JESSE HOLGUIN
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130302.COYOT.01/EPZ