FNUS72 KMLB 031258
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR DURRANCE FIRE...FHP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
758 AM EST SUN MAR 3 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0739 EST ON MARCH 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR VOLUSIA COUNTY STARTING
AT 11 AM AND CONTINUING THROUGH SUNSET....

.DISCUSSION...ANOTHER DAY OF ACCELERATED FIRE BEHAVIOR IS EXPECTED
TODAY AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES DROP INTO THE MIDDLE TO LOWER
20S WITH WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO NEAR 20 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. DISPERSION VALUES WILL RISE INTO THE VERY GOOD RANGE. EXPECT
RAPID SPREAD AND DOWNWIND SPOTTING WITH ANY EXISTING FIRES OR NEW
IGNITIONS.

SETTLING OF SMOKE IS UNLIKELY TONIGHT DUE TO LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES AND LIGHT NORTHWEST WINDS...WHICH WILL RESULT IN ABOVE
AVERAGE DISPERSION.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-NORTHWEST INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH
                    WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS OF AROUND 25 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200-4500 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST-NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....62.
LVORI...............0.

TIME (EST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............43  47  49  52  55  56  57  57  56  53  50
RH..............55  49  43  40  35  31  30  30  33  37  42
20 FT WIND DIR..WNW WNW WNW WNW WNW WNW WNW WNW WNW WNW WNW
20 FT WIND SPD.. 8  10  11  16  17  18  19  19  18  15  12
20 FT WIND GUST.10  15  16  25  25  26  27  27  25  22  18

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. PATCHY FROST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH...DECREASING
                    TO 5 TO 7 MPH BY SUNRISE.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 18 TO 22 MPH....DECREASING TO
                    13 TO 15 MPH LATE.
DISPERSION INDEX....6.
LVORI...............3.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. PATCHY FROST EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2100-3200 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....32.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...CRISTALDI
REQUESTED BY...SGT  J L  CROSBY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130303.DURRA.01/MLB