FNUS75 KBOU 051256 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR ELK RESEARCH...ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 556 AM MST TUE MAR 5 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0551 MST ON MARCH 05. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...IT WILL DRY AND STABLE TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT WITH CLEAR SKIES. WINDS WILL BE WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH AT TIMES. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36. MIN HUMIDITY........25%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10-18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 1700-2700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20-25 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1600...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 14. MAX HUMIDITY........52%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1800...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15-20 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1100...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45. MIN HUMIDITY........28%. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9-13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 4500-5500 FT AGL AFTER 1100. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20-30 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN SOUTHWEST 40-45 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR ELK RESEARCH. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/05-05 9 1 0 8 52 W 18 30 4 1 NW 63 455 W 23 9007 P 03/05-06 9 1 0 10 50 W 18 30 4 1 NW 61 499 W 23 9756 P 03/05-07 9 1 0 12 49 W 18 30 5 1 NW 60 542 W 22 10505 P 03/05-08 0 1 0 16 44 W 18 30 5 1 NW 59 585 W 22 11254 P 03/05-09 0 1 0 22 37 W 17 26 5 1 NW 58 1122 W 22 22028 P 03/05-10 0 1 0 27 32 W 15 23 4 1 NW 58 1658 W 23 32801 P 03/05-11 7 1 0 32 27 W 13 21 4 1 WNW 59 2194 W 23 43575 F 03/05-12 7 1 0 35 25 W 12 20 4 1 WNW 59 2397 W 23 47140 F 03/05-13 7 1 0 36 25 W 12 18 4 1 WNW 59 2599 W 23 50706 F 03/05-14 7 1 0 35 26 W 12 18 4 1 WNW 60 2801 W 22 54271 F 03/05-15 7 1 0 32 29 W 12 17 4 1 WNW 60 2216 W 21 40977 F 03/05-16 7 1 0 28 34 W 10 17 5 1 WNW 60 1630 W 18 27683 P 03/05-17 10 0 0 24 40 W 10 16 5 1 WNW 60 1045 W 16 14389 P 03/05-18 10 0 0 21 44 W 10 17 5 1 W 58 785 W 17 11017 P 03/05-19 10 0 0 18 49 W 12 18 5 1 W 54 526 W 17 7645 P 03/05-20 10 0 0 17 49 W 13 21 5 1 W 51 266 W 18 4273 P 03/05-21 10 0 0 15 51 W 13 21 5 1 W 48 253 W 20 4170 P 03/05-22 10 0 0 14 52 W 14 22 5 1 W 46 240 W 20 4068 P 03/05-23 11 0 0 14 51 W 14 22 5 1 W 44 227 W 20 3965 P 03/06-00 11 0 0 14 49 W 14 22 4 1 W 41 231 W 21 4111 P 03/06-01 11 0 0 15 45 W 14 22 4 1 W 40 236 W 21 4256 P 03/06-02 11 0 0 15 44 W 14 22 3 1 W 38 241 W 21 4401 P 03/06-03 11 0 0 15 44 W 14 22 3 1 W 39 236 W 20 4177 P 03/06-04 11 0 0 15 45 W 14 22 2 1 WSW 39 231 W 20 3953 P 03/06-05 28 0 0 15 48 W 14 21 2 1 WSW 39 226 W 18 3729 P 03/06-06 28 0 0 17 51 W 14 21 2 1 WSW 37 276 W 18 4498 P 03/06-07 28 0 0 21 48 W 13 20 2 1 SW 35 326 W 18 5267 P 03/06-08 28 0 0 25 46 W 13 20 2 1 SW 33 376 W 18 6036 P 03/06-09 28 0 0 31 40 W 12 17 2 1 SW 35 1751 WSW 25 55902 F 03/06-10 28 0 0 36 36 WSW 10 16 2 1 SW 36 3126 WSW 32 105768 V 03/06-11 41 0 0 41 31 WSW 10 16 2 1 SW 38 4502 WSW 40 155635 E 03/06-12 41 0 0 44 29 WSW 12 17 2 1 SW 38 4925 WSW 41 178855 E 03/06-13 41 0 0 45 28 WSW 14 21 2 1 SSW 37 5349 WSW 44 202075 E 03/06-14 41 0 0 44 29 WSW 15 23 2 1 SSW 40 5773 WSW 45 225295 E 03/06-15 41 0 0 42 31 WSW 14 21 2 1 SW 51 4980 WSW 44 189961 E 03/06-16 41 0 0 38 36 WSW 13 18 2 1 WSW 63 4187 WSW 41 154627 E 03/06-17 44 0 0 35 40 WSW 12 17 2 1 WSW 73 3395 WSW 40 119294 V 03/06-18 44 0 0 32 44 WSW 15 22 2 1 WSW 73 2421 WSW 37 83772 G 03/06-19 44 0 0 30 47 WSW 18 28 2 1 WSW 67 1447 WSW 35 48251 F 03/06-20 44 0 0 28 51 WSW 21 31 2 1 WSW 62 474 WSW 31 12730 P 03/06-21 44 0 0 26 54 WSW 20 29 2 1 WSW 60 631 WSW 32 18236 P 03/06-22 44 0 0 25 55 WSW 17 25 2 1 WSW 60 788 WSW 35 23742 P 03/06-23 44 0 0 24 57 WSW 15 23 2 1 WSW 61 945 WSW 36 29248 P 03/07-00 44 0 0 24 57 W 16 23 2 1 WSW 66 1113 WSW 38 37742 P 03/07-01 44 0 0 24 57 W 17 25 3 1 WSW 71 1281 WSW 41 46236 F 03/07-02 44 0 0 24 57 W 18 28 3 1 WSW 75 1449 WSW 44 54730 F 03/07-03 44 0 0 24 58 W 18 28 3 1 WSW 74 1331 W 41 48446 F 03/07-04 44 0 0 23 61 W 18 28 3 1 WSW 70 1214 W 39 42161 F 03/07-05 37 0 0 23 62 W 17 26 3 1 WSW 66 1097 W 38 35877 P 03/07-06 37 0 0 24 60 W 15 23 3 1 WSW 62 1438 W 33 39474 P 03/07-07 37 0 0 26 55 W 14 20 3 1 SW 58 1780 W 30 43072 F 03/07-08 37 0 0 30 47 W 12 17 3 1 SW 54 2121 W 25 46669 F 03/07-09 37 0 0 34 40 WSW 10 15 3 1 SW 53 3447 W 25 78660 G 03/07-10 37 0 0 38 35 WSW 9 14 2 1 SW 54 4773 WSW 26 110650 V 03/07-11 55 0 0 42 30 WSW 9 14 2 1 SW 55 6100 WSW 26 142640 V 03/07-12 55 0 0 44 28 WSW 10 15 2 1 SW 56 6841 WSW 29 172347 E 03/07-13 55 0 0 45 28 SW 12 17 2 1 WSW 58 7582 WSW 30 202053 E 03/07-14 55 0 0 44 29 SW 13 20 2 1 WSW 59 8323 WSW 32 231760 E 03/07-15 55 0 0 42 33 SW 12 17 2 1 WSW 60 7330 WSW 31 198123 E 03/07-16 55 0 0 39 39 SW 10 15 2 1 WSW 60 6338 WSW 30 164486 E 03/07-17 59 6 1 35 47 SSW 8 8 2 1 WSW 61 5345 WSW 28 130850 V 03/07-18 59 6 1 32 54 SSW 7 7 1 03/07-19 59 6 1 30 59 SSW 6 6 1 03/07-20 59 6 1 28 63 SSW 6 6 1 03/07-21 59 6 1 26 68 SSW 6 6 1 03/07-22 59 6 1 25 69 SSW 6 6 1 03/07-23 57 6 1 24 71 SSW 6 6 1 03/08-00 57 6 1 24 70 SSW 6 6 1 03/08-01 57 6 1 24 68 SW 6 6 1 03/08-02 57 6 1 23 69 SW 6 6 1 03/08-03 57 6 1 23 68 SW 5 5 1 03/08-04 57 6 1 22 71 SW 5 5 1 03/08-05 69 17 3 22 71 WSW 5 5 1 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...RPK REQUESTED BY...TIM PHILLIPS TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20130305.ELKRE.01/BOU