FNUS72 KJAX 052238
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR HOPKINS PRAIRIE...FLORIDA HIGHWAY PATROL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
538 PM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1730 EST ON MARCH 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO BE GUSTY AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY FOR THIS EVENING...ALONG
IT TONIGHT...AND BEHIND IT FOR WEDNESDAY. WHILE SCATTERED SHOWERS
ALONG WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT...THE AMOUNT
OF PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE ENOUGH TO DAMPEN THE ENHANCED
FIRE DANGER. LOW RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY...
IN ADDITION TO THE GUSTY WINDS. DISPERSION VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BE
HIGH AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY AS WELL. WHILE A RELATIVELY DRY AIRMASS IS
EXPECTED TO BE IN PLACE FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
BE LIGHT...HELPING TO LOWER THE FIRE DANGER.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...NO FOG IS EXPECTED THROUGH MUCH OF
THE WEEK. WINDY CONDITIONS WILL PUSH DISPERSIONS WELL ABOVE CRITICAL
THRESHOLDS ONCE AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 23 TO 28 MPH BECOMING WEST 9 TO 18
                    MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........21     32     49     66     71     64
WEATHER COV.....                     SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............69     63     57     57     56     53
RH..............46     65     89     96     96     93
20 FT WIND......SW 10  SW 9   SW 9   SW 10  SW 10  W 10
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....4200   2200   700    200    200    400
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 28  SW 23  SW 15  SW 12  SW 10  W 10
LVORI...........1      1      5      6      6      5
DISPERSION INDX.108    64     13     11     10     11

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST 20 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-4400 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 25 TO 30 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........42     26     17     9      4      3
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............49     48     48     57     64     64
RH..............94     77     58     36     27     27
20 FT WIND......W 12   W 14   NW 18  W 21   W 22   W 22
20 FT WIND GUST.15     20     30     30     30     30
MIX HGT (FT)....400    1300   2600   3800   4400   4200
TRANSPORT WIND..W 15   W 21   NW 25  W 28   W 29   W 29
LVORI...........5      3      1      1      1      1
DISPERSION INDX.14     22     55     76     84     82

$$
FORECASTER...SHULER
REQUESTED BY...CPT  G  S  LAMONT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130305.HOPKI.02/JAX