FNUS76 KMFR 050637
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH WARNER RX...LAKEVIEW BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1037 PM PST MON MAR 4 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 PST ON MARCH 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A REASONABLY STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ONTO CASCADES AND EAST
SIDE BY LATE AFTERNOON. SNOW LEVELS BEGINNING NEAR 6000 FEET WILL
GRADUALLY LOWER TO 3000 TO 4000 FEET BY THURSDAY. SIGNIFICANT
VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW ARE EXPECTED FROM THIS STORM SYSTEM.
SHOWERS ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
SMALL HAIL AND GRAUPEL...AS WELL AS THUNDER AS VERY COLD AIR ALOFT
COMBINES WITH THE STRONGER MARCH SOLAR HEATING. SHOWERS WILL
FINALLY COMPLETELY COME TO END SOMETIME ON FRIDAY AS EAST WINDS
DEVELOP.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-6700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 42 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE EARLY
                    EVENING...THEN SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 27.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 41 MPH.
CWR.................67 PERCENT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000-8900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 28 MPH.
CWR.................58 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...NELAIMISCHKIES
REQUESTED BY...MITCH ISHIDA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130305.SOUTH.01/MFR