FNUS72 KILM 071258 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR LAWA 3-7-13...NC STATE PARKS-LAWA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 758 AM EST THU MAR 7 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EST ON MARCH 07. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WINDS WILL GUST TO 15 TO 25 MPH TODAY AS AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS DROP TO AROUND 30 PERCENT. A POTENT STORM SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST THROUGH THURSDAY WITH A SLOW DECREASE IN GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS. BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY AIR WILL PERSIST INTO THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS DOWN THE EAST COAST. THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEKEND WILL SEE A RETURN TO MORE SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES AS THE HIGH SHIFTS OFF THE EAST COAST. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA ON TUESDAY. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. BROTAK WIND PROFILE .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57. MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2600-4400 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4800-5800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 3700 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 18 TO 24 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...BECOMING WEST AROUND 13 MPH LATE. MAX ADI.............70. MAX LVORI...........3. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (5635-47494 MPH-FT)...INCREASING TO GOOD TO EXCELLENT (64054-114079 MPH-FT) IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (EST) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............10 13 15 16 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................47 53 56 56 RH..................42 35 33 33 20 FT WIND..........NW 9 NW 9 NW 9 NW 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....25 25 25 20 MIX HGT (FT)........3700 4800 5600 5500 TRANSPORT WIND......N 23 NW 23 NW 21 NW 18 LVORI...............1 1 1 1 ADI.................31 68 66 59 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...77 99 109 107 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32. MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...BECOMING NORTHWEST 7 TO 13 MPH. MAX ADI.............12. MAX LVORI...........3. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1609-22540 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............15 13 12 8 6 5 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................52 47 43 40 37 34 RH..................41 52 60 64 67 72 20 FT WIND..........NW 5 NW 4 N 4 N 4 N 5 NW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 10 5 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)........1600 300 300 300 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND......SW 6 S 0 S 0 NW 10 N 12 NW 8 LVORI...............2 2 3 3 3 3 ADI.................12 1 1 4 5 4 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...23 3 2 3 3 2 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56. MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4200-5500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO 23 TO 30 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MAX ADI.............109. MAX LVORI...........3. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1380-35765 MPH-FT)...INCREASING TO EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (119829-151455 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............6 7 7 7 7 8 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................32 36 47 53 55 55 RH..................74 65 43 36 35 36 20 FT WIND..........NW 5 NW 6 NW 8 NW 9 NW 9 N 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)........200 800 2400 4100 5300 5200 TRANSPORT WIND......NW 7 NW 15 N 29 NW 28 NW 28 NW 29 LVORI...............3 3 1 1 1 1 ADI.................3 10 39 78 86 89 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...1 12 70 114 145 149 $$ FORECASTER...DIGIORGI REQUESTED BY...JONATHAN SHORT TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130307.LAWA3.01/ILM