FNUS72 KFFC 072051
FWSFFC

SPOT FORECAST FOR STRAWBERRY 19...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
351 PM EST THU MAR 7 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON MARCH 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A RELATIVELY DRY AND WARMER AIRMASS WILL SETTLE INTO THE STATE
THROUGH SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION. IF 10-HOUR
FUEL MOISTURE LEVELS CAN DRY SUFFICIENTLY THIS AFTERNOON AN AGAIN
FRIDAY...HIGH FIRE DANGER LEVELS MAY BE REACHED IN PORTIONS OF NORTH
GEORGIA FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS 4 TO 5 HOURS OF 20 TO 25 PERCENT RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES ARE LIKELY. BY SATURDAY...SLIGHTLY HIGHER DEW POINTS ARE
EXPECTED TO OFFSET WARMER AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TO KEEP RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS.

SITE SPECIFIC DISCUSSION...
WITH A NORTH ASPECT...EXPECT THE TEMPERATURES TO BE COOLER THAN
SURROUNDING RIDGES AND VALLEYS ALONG WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER RH VALUES.
MAIN CONCERN WITH RH VALUES ARE WITH RESPECT TO PREVIOUS SNOWFALL.
RH VALUES MAY BE HIGHER THAN FORECAST IF SITE HAD SNOWFALL
THE PAST FEW DAYS.  CLEAR SKIES SHOULD LEAD TO WARMING ON THE RIDGE TOP...
THIS MAY LEAD TO THE WINDS SHIFTING FROM NORTH TO NORTHWEST DURING THE
AFTERNOON...IF UPSLOPE COMPONENT OF THE WIND IS STRONG ENOUGH.


.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING.
                    3200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 39.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........2      4      6      8
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............40     49     55     57
RH..............54     39     30     26
20 FT WIND......N 7    N 7    N 7    N 7
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     17     10
DISPERSION IDX..7      23     43     38
LVORI...........2      2      1      1

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 EARLY DECREASING TO 0.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 2 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....31 DECREASING TO 5.
LVORI...............3.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-3400 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 2 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 12
                    TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 48.
LVORI...............3.

$$
FORECASTER...GIBBS
REQUESTED BY...JEFF SPRITES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130308.STRAW.01/FFC