FNUS72 KTAE 081225
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR BURN UNIT 217...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
725 AM EST FRI MAR 8 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EST ON MARCH 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850)942-8835.

.DISCUSSION...

RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED THIS AFTERNOON. LOW RH
DURATIONS WILL BE BORDERLINE...IN COMBINATION WITH LIGHT WINDS AND
ERC VALUES WELL BELOW NECESSARY VALUES. ANOTHER AFTERNOON OF
BORDERLINE CRITICAL RH CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED TOMORROW...HOWEVER THE
SAME CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY SO RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE NOT
EXPECTED.

FOG POTENTIAL...

ISOLATED AREAS OF FOG ARE MIXING WITH SMOKE FROM FIRES FROM
YESTERDAY AFTERNOON. THE SMOKE/FOG MIX MAY BE DENSE AT
TIMES...ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTH FLORIDA EAST OF THE APALACHICOLA
RIVER. VISIBILITY CONCERNS WILL QUICKLY IMPROVE AFTER SUNRISE WITH
THE SMOKE GRADUALLY LIFTING BY MID MORNING. FOG IS NOT ANTICIPATED
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG...SMOKE AND
                    FROST UNTIL 10 PM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-3600 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 6 MPH DECREASING TO 1 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION..........MAXIMUM AROUND 40.

TIME (EST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........5      5      5      5
WEATHER COV.....AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....SMOKE  NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............49     60     66     69
RH..............60     39     30     27
20 FT WIND......N 3    N 4    N 4    N 4
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 1 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION..........MINIMUM AROUND 4.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........5      5      10     10     15     19
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............68     58     51     47     45     44
RH..............29     46     60     70     72     74
20 FT WIND......N 4    N 3    NE 3   NE 2   NE 1   E 1
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     5      5

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING
                    LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-3900 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 1 TO 8 MPH.
MAXIMUM.............MAXIMUM AROUND 39.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........19     23     34     34     44     47
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............43     47     57     67     70     70
RH..............76     65     44     29     26     26
20 FT WIND......E 1    E 2    E 3    E 5    E 4    SE 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     10     15     10     10

$$
FORECASTER...RON BLOCK
REQUESTED BY...STEVE PARRISH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130308.BURNU.01/TAE