FNUS72 KTAE 081257
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR BURN UNIT 111...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
757 AM EST FRI MAR 8 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EST ON MARCH 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850)942-8835.

.DISCUSSION...

RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED THIS AFTERNOON. LOW RH
DURATIONS WILL BE BORDERLINE...IN COMBINATION WITH LIGHT WINDS AND
ERC VALUES WELL BELOW NECESSARY VALUES. ANOTHER AFTERNOON OF
BORDERLINE CRITICAL RH CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED TOMORROW...HOWEVER THE
SAME CONDITIONS ABOVE ARE LIKELY AND RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE NOT
EXPECTED. THEREAFTER...RH VALUES RISE TO WELL ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

FOG POTENTIAL...

ISOLATED AREAS OF FOG ARE MIXING WITH SMOKE FROM FIRES FROM
YESTERDAY AFTERNOON. THE SMOKE/FOG MIX MAY BE DENSE AT TIMES BEFORE
9 AM. VISIBILITY CONCERNS WILL QUICKLY IMPROVE AFTER SUNRISE WITH
THE SMOKE GRADUALLY LIFTING BY MID MORNING. IN AREAS IMMEDIATELY
AROUND SMOLDERING FIRES TONIGHT A MIXTURE OF FOG AND SMOKE COULD
LOCALLY REDUCE VISIBILITY...BUT WIDESPREAD FOG IS NOT ANTICIPATED
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG...SMOKE AND
                    FROST EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-3600 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 4 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION..........MAXIMUM VALUES AROUND 30.

TIME (EST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........5      5      5      5      5
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....SMOKE  NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............41     55     64     68     68
RH..............79     50     36     31     33
20 FT WIND......N 2    N 4    N 4    N 4    N 3
20 FT WIND GUST.4      6      6      6      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION..........MINIMUM VALUES AROUND 5.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........5      5      13     13     20     22
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............67     58     51     47     46     44
RH..............34     52     66     76     78     81
20 FT WIND......NW 2   N 2    NE 2   NE 2   NE 2   E 2
20 FT WIND GUST.4      4      3      3      3      3

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-3500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION..........MAXIMUM VALUES AROUND 55.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........22     23     34     34     46     48
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............43     47     56     66     68     68
RH..............88     78     53     36     32     32
20 FT WIND......E 3    E 4    E 5    E 6    SE 6   SE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      6      8      10     11     12

$$

FORECASTER...ALEX LAMERS
REQUESTED BY...DAVID QUISENBERRY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130308.BURNU.03/TAE